Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin

This study assesses the causal effect of school retention strategies on the probability of school dropout in Medellin, Colombia. The probit model is estimated using microdata on enrollment published by the Ministry of National Education and data on beneficiaries of school retention programs, year 2...

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Main Authors: Andres Camacho Murillo, Natalia Arango Ramírez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad del Rosario 2025-01-01
Series:Revista de Economía del Rosario
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Online Access:https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/economia/article/view/14801
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author Andres Camacho Murillo
Natalia Arango Ramírez
author_facet Andres Camacho Murillo
Natalia Arango Ramírez
author_sort Andres Camacho Murillo
collection DOAJ
description This study assesses the causal effect of school retention strategies on the probability of school dropout in Medellin, Colombia. The probit model is estimated using microdata on enrollment published by the Ministry of National Education and data on beneficiaries of school retention programs, year 2019. Three impact evaluation methods are employed to obtain the counterfactual group of each school retention program: Self- Selected Comparisons, Propensity Score Matching, and Endogenous Treatment-Effects. Results from the latter method show that the probability of school dropout is lower for students enrolled in the School Meals Program, School Transportation Program, or Complementary School Day Program, compared to the counterfactual groups, by -1.0 pp, -3.17 pp, and -2.97 pp, respectively. However, the study finds heterogeneous effects around school retention programs, which are explained by students’ social class, nationality, and sex.
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spelling doaj-art-1d1d7b29c66a4d91bf8ffb38a8c257a42025-08-20T02:50:44ZengUniversidad del RosarioRevista de Economía del Rosario2145-454X2025-01-0126210.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/economia/a.14801Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in MedellinAndres Camacho Murillohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6182-0972Natalia Arango Ramírez0Investigador Independiente This study assesses the causal effect of school retention strategies on the probability of school dropout in Medellin, Colombia. The probit model is estimated using microdata on enrollment published by the Ministry of National Education and data on beneficiaries of school retention programs, year 2019. Three impact evaluation methods are employed to obtain the counterfactual group of each school retention program: Self- Selected Comparisons, Propensity Score Matching, and Endogenous Treatment-Effects. Results from the latter method show that the probability of school dropout is lower for students enrolled in the School Meals Program, School Transportation Program, or Complementary School Day Program, compared to the counterfactual groups, by -1.0 pp, -3.17 pp, and -2.97 pp, respectively. However, the study finds heterogeneous effects around school retention programs, which are explained by students’ social class, nationality, and sex. https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/economia/article/view/14801school dropout; school meals program; school transportation program; Complementary school day program; probit model; impact evaluation.
spellingShingle Andres Camacho Murillo
Natalia Arango Ramírez
Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
Revista de Economía del Rosario
school dropout; school meals program; school transportation program; Complementary school day program; probit model; impact evaluation.
title Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
title_full Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
title_fullStr Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
title_full_unstemmed Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
title_short Transforming Lives: The Positive Impact of School Retention Strategies on the Probability of Students’ Dropout in Medellin
title_sort transforming lives the positive impact of school retention strategies on the probability of students dropout in medellin
topic school dropout; school meals program; school transportation program; Complementary school day program; probit model; impact evaluation.
url https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/economia/article/view/14801
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