Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada

Climate change (CC) and land use/land cover change (LULCC) are significant drivers of hydrological change, and an effective watershed management requires a detailed understanding of their individual and the combined impact. This study focused on the Athabasca River Basin (ARB), Canada, and investiga...

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Main Authors: Sharad Aryal, Mukand S. Babel, Anil Gupta, Babak Farjad, Dibesh Khadka, Quazi K. Hassan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Hydrology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/12/1/7
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author Sharad Aryal
Mukand S. Babel
Anil Gupta
Babak Farjad
Dibesh Khadka
Quazi K. Hassan
author_facet Sharad Aryal
Mukand S. Babel
Anil Gupta
Babak Farjad
Dibesh Khadka
Quazi K. Hassan
author_sort Sharad Aryal
collection DOAJ
description Climate change (CC) and land use/land cover change (LULCC) are significant drivers of hydrological change, and an effective watershed management requires a detailed understanding of their individual and the combined impact. This study focused on the Athabasca River Basin (ARB), Canada, and investigated how the basin responded to their changes using the MIKE SHE-MIKE Hydro River. Our findings revealed novel insights into ARB hydrological changes, including increment in non-vegetated lands (0.26%), savannas (1.28%), forests (0.53%), and urban areas (0.02%) while grasslands (2.07%) and shrublands (0.03%) decreased. Moreover, the basin experienced rising annual minimum (1.01 °C) and maximum (0.85 °C) temperatures but declining precipitation (6.2%). The findings suggested a significant impact of CC compared to LULCC as CC caused annual reduction in streamflow (7.9%), evapotranspiration (4.8%), and recharge (6.9%). Meanwhile, LULCC reduced streamflow (0.2%) and recharge (0.4%) but increased evapotranspiration (0.1%). The study revealed spatiotemporal variability across the ARB, with temperature impacts stronger in winter and precipitation influencing other seasons.
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series Hydrology
spelling doaj-art-1ce1bf5fccc649beb2137b3e181204302025-01-24T13:34:53ZengMDPI AGHydrology2306-53382025-01-01121710.3390/hydrology12010007Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, CanadaSharad Aryal0Mukand S. Babel1Anil Gupta2Babak Farjad3Dibesh Khadka4Quazi K. Hassan5Department of Geomatics Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, CanadaWater Engineering and Management, Asian Institute of Technology, P.O. Box 4, Klong Luang, Pathumthani 12120, ThailandAlberta Environment and Protected Areas, Government of Alberta, Calgary, AB T2L 2K8, CanadaAlberta Environment and Protected Areas, Government of Alberta, Calgary, AB T2L 2K8, CanadaWater Engineering and Management, Asian Institute of Technology, P.O. Box 4, Klong Luang, Pathumthani 12120, ThailandDepartment of Geomatics Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, CanadaClimate change (CC) and land use/land cover change (LULCC) are significant drivers of hydrological change, and an effective watershed management requires a detailed understanding of their individual and the combined impact. This study focused on the Athabasca River Basin (ARB), Canada, and investigated how the basin responded to their changes using the MIKE SHE-MIKE Hydro River. Our findings revealed novel insights into ARB hydrological changes, including increment in non-vegetated lands (0.26%), savannas (1.28%), forests (0.53%), and urban areas (0.02%) while grasslands (2.07%) and shrublands (0.03%) decreased. Moreover, the basin experienced rising annual minimum (1.01 °C) and maximum (0.85 °C) temperatures but declining precipitation (6.2%). The findings suggested a significant impact of CC compared to LULCC as CC caused annual reduction in streamflow (7.9%), evapotranspiration (4.8%), and recharge (6.9%). Meanwhile, LULCC reduced streamflow (0.2%) and recharge (0.4%) but increased evapotranspiration (0.1%). The study revealed spatiotemporal variability across the ARB, with temperature impacts stronger in winter and precipitation influencing other seasons.https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/12/1/7hydrological modelingcold region climateMIKE SHEwater balanceclimatic change
spellingShingle Sharad Aryal
Mukand S. Babel
Anil Gupta
Babak Farjad
Dibesh Khadka
Quazi K. Hassan
Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
Hydrology
hydrological modeling
cold region climate
MIKE SHE
water balance
climatic change
title Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
title_full Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
title_fullStr Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
title_full_unstemmed Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
title_short Attribution of the Climate and Land Use Change Impact on the Hydrological Processes of Athabasca River Basin, Canada
title_sort attribution of the climate and land use change impact on the hydrological processes of athabasca river basin canada
topic hydrological modeling
cold region climate
MIKE SHE
water balance
climatic change
url https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/12/1/7
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