Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena

Causality, the science of cause and effect, has made it possible to create a new family of models. Such models are often referred to as causal models. Unlike those of mathematical, numerical, empirical, or machine learning (ML) nature, causal models hope to tie the cause(s) to the effect(s) pertaini...

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Main Author: M.Z. Naser
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2025-01-01
Series:Defence Technology
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214914724000849
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author M.Z. Naser
author_facet M.Z. Naser
author_sort M.Z. Naser
collection DOAJ
description Causality, the science of cause and effect, has made it possible to create a new family of models. Such models are often referred to as causal models. Unlike those of mathematical, numerical, empirical, or machine learning (ML) nature, causal models hope to tie the cause(s) to the effect(s) pertaining to a phenomenon (i.e., data generating process) through causal principles. This paper presents one of the first works at creating causal models in the area of structural and construction engineering. To this end, this paper starts with a brief review of the principles of causality and then adopts four causal discovery algorithms, namely, PC (Peter-Clark), FCI (fast causal inference), GES (greedy equivalence search), and GRaSP (greedy relaxation of the sparsest permutation), have been used to examine four phenomena, including predicting the load-bearing capacity of axially loaded members, fire resistance of structural members, shear strength of beams, and resistance of walls against impulsive (blast) loading. Findings from this study reveal the possibility and merit of discovering complete and partial causal models. Finally, this study also proposes two simple metrics that can help assess the performance of causal discovery algorithms.
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spelling doaj-art-1bf19d5fa3e14c88bbb7aa11d3637b9e2025-01-23T05:26:45ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Defence Technology2214-91472025-01-01436079Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomenaM.Z. Naser0School of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences (SCEEES), Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina 29634, USA; The Artificial Intelligence Research Institute for Science and Engineering (AIRISE), Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina 29634, USA; Corresponding author.Causality, the science of cause and effect, has made it possible to create a new family of models. Such models are often referred to as causal models. Unlike those of mathematical, numerical, empirical, or machine learning (ML) nature, causal models hope to tie the cause(s) to the effect(s) pertaining to a phenomenon (i.e., data generating process) through causal principles. This paper presents one of the first works at creating causal models in the area of structural and construction engineering. To this end, this paper starts with a brief review of the principles of causality and then adopts four causal discovery algorithms, namely, PC (Peter-Clark), FCI (fast causal inference), GES (greedy equivalence search), and GRaSP (greedy relaxation of the sparsest permutation), have been used to examine four phenomena, including predicting the load-bearing capacity of axially loaded members, fire resistance of structural members, shear strength of beams, and resistance of walls against impulsive (blast) loading. Findings from this study reveal the possibility and merit of discovering complete and partial causal models. Finally, this study also proposes two simple metrics that can help assess the performance of causal discovery algorithms.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214914724000849CausalityCausal discoveryDirected acyclic graphsMachine learningMetrics
spellingShingle M.Z. Naser
Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
Defence Technology
Causality
Causal discovery
Directed acyclic graphs
Machine learning
Metrics
title Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
title_full Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
title_fullStr Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
title_full_unstemmed Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
title_short Discovering causal models for structural, construction and defense-related engineering phenomena
title_sort discovering causal models for structural construction and defense related engineering phenomena
topic Causality
Causal discovery
Directed acyclic graphs
Machine learning
Metrics
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214914724000849
work_keys_str_mv AT mznaser discoveringcausalmodelsforstructuralconstructionanddefenserelatedengineeringphenomena