Drift and the Risk-Free Rate

It is proven, under a set of assumptions differing from the usual ones in the unboundedness of the time interval, that, in an economy in equilibrium consisting of a risk-free cash account and an equity whose price process is a geometric Brownian motion on [0,∞), the drift rate must be close to the r...

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Main Authors: Anda Gadidov, M. C. Spruill
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2011-01-01
Series:Journal of Probability and Statistics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/595741
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author Anda Gadidov
M. C. Spruill
author_facet Anda Gadidov
M. C. Spruill
author_sort Anda Gadidov
collection DOAJ
description It is proven, under a set of assumptions differing from the usual ones in the unboundedness of the time interval, that, in an economy in equilibrium consisting of a risk-free cash account and an equity whose price process is a geometric Brownian motion on [0,∞), the drift rate must be close to the risk-free rate; if the drift rate 𝜇 and the risk-free rate 𝑟 are constants, then 𝑟=𝜇 and the price process is the same under both empirical and risk neutral measures. Contributing in some degree perhaps to interest in this mathematical curiosity is the fact, based on empirical data taken at various times over an assortment of equities and relatively short durations, that no tests of the hypothesis of equality are rejected.
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spelling doaj-art-1b59c543aa8c4a469ab298fc188539cc2025-02-03T05:48:15ZengWileyJournal of Probability and Statistics1687-952X1687-95382011-01-01201110.1155/2011/595741595741Drift and the Risk-Free RateAnda Gadidov0M. C. Spruill1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Kennesaw State University, Kennesaw, GA 30144-5591, USASchool of Mathematics, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0160, USAIt is proven, under a set of assumptions differing from the usual ones in the unboundedness of the time interval, that, in an economy in equilibrium consisting of a risk-free cash account and an equity whose price process is a geometric Brownian motion on [0,∞), the drift rate must be close to the risk-free rate; if the drift rate 𝜇 and the risk-free rate 𝑟 are constants, then 𝑟=𝜇 and the price process is the same under both empirical and risk neutral measures. Contributing in some degree perhaps to interest in this mathematical curiosity is the fact, based on empirical data taken at various times over an assortment of equities and relatively short durations, that no tests of the hypothesis of equality are rejected.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/595741
spellingShingle Anda Gadidov
M. C. Spruill
Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
Journal of Probability and Statistics
title Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
title_full Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
title_fullStr Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
title_full_unstemmed Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
title_short Drift and the Risk-Free Rate
title_sort drift and the risk free rate
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/595741
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