A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change
The impacts on living conditions and natural habitats deriving from planning decisions require complex analysis of cross-acting factors, which in turn require interdisciplinary data. At the municipal level, both data collection and the knowledge needed to interpret it are often lacking. Additionally...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Cogitatio
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Urban Planning |
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| Online Access: | https://www.cogitatiopress.com/urbanplanning/article/view/8562 |
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| author | Julia Forster Stefan Bindreiter Birthe Uhlhorn Verena Radinger-Peer Alexandra Jiricka-Pürrer |
| author_facet | Julia Forster Stefan Bindreiter Birthe Uhlhorn Verena Radinger-Peer Alexandra Jiricka-Pürrer |
| author_sort | Julia Forster |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The impacts on living conditions and natural habitats deriving from planning decisions require complex analysis of cross-acting factors, which in turn require interdisciplinary data. At the municipal level, both data collection and the knowledge needed to interpret it are often lacking. Additionally, climate change and species extinction demand rapid and effective policies in order to preserve soil resources for future generations. Ex-ante evaluation of planning measures is insufficient owing to a lack of data and linear models capable of simulating the impacts of complex systemic relationships. Integrating machine learning (ML) into systemic planning increases awareness of impacts by providing decision-makers with predictive analysis and risk mitigation tools. ML can predict future scenarios beyond rigid linear models, identifying patterns, trends, and correlations within complex systems and depicting hidden relationships. This article focuses on a case study of single-family houses in Upper Austria, chosen for its transferability to other regions. It critically reflects on an ML approach, linking data on past and current planning regulations and decisions to the physical environment. We create an inventory of categories of areas with different features to inform nature-based solutions and backcasting planning decisions and build a training dataset for ML models. Our model predicts the effects of planning decisions on soil sealing. We discuss how ML can support local planning by providing area assessments in soil sealing within the case study. The article presents a working approach to planning and demonstrates that more data is needed to achieve well-founded planning statements. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-1ad4e28d510d4c57a708f2cc37aaf81d |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2183-7635 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | Cogitatio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Urban Planning |
| spelling | doaj-art-1ad4e28d510d4c57a708f2cc37aaf81d2025-01-21T10:43:37ZengCogitatioUrban Planning2183-76352025-01-0110010.17645/up.85623802A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate ChangeJulia Forster0Stefan Bindreiter1Birthe Uhlhorn2Verena Radinger-Peer3Alexandra Jiricka-Pürrer4Institute of Spatial Planning, TU Wien, AustriaInstitute of Spatial Planning, TU Wien, AustriaInstitute of Landscape Development, Recreation and Conservation Planning, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, AustriaInstitute of Landscape Development, Recreation and Conservation Planning, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, AustriaInstitute of Landscape Development, Recreation and Conservation Planning, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, AustriaThe impacts on living conditions and natural habitats deriving from planning decisions require complex analysis of cross-acting factors, which in turn require interdisciplinary data. At the municipal level, both data collection and the knowledge needed to interpret it are often lacking. Additionally, climate change and species extinction demand rapid and effective policies in order to preserve soil resources for future generations. Ex-ante evaluation of planning measures is insufficient owing to a lack of data and linear models capable of simulating the impacts of complex systemic relationships. Integrating machine learning (ML) into systemic planning increases awareness of impacts by providing decision-makers with predictive analysis and risk mitigation tools. ML can predict future scenarios beyond rigid linear models, identifying patterns, trends, and correlations within complex systems and depicting hidden relationships. This article focuses on a case study of single-family houses in Upper Austria, chosen for its transferability to other regions. It critically reflects on an ML approach, linking data on past and current planning regulations and decisions to the physical environment. We create an inventory of categories of areas with different features to inform nature-based solutions and backcasting planning decisions and build a training dataset for ML models. Our model predicts the effects of planning decisions on soil sealing. We discuss how ML can support local planning by providing area assessments in soil sealing within the case study. The article presents a working approach to planning and demonstrates that more data is needed to achieve well-founded planning statements.https://www.cogitatiopress.com/urbanplanning/article/view/8562gis analysismachine learningnature-based solutionsspatial analysisspatial planning |
| spellingShingle | Julia Forster Stefan Bindreiter Birthe Uhlhorn Verena Radinger-Peer Alexandra Jiricka-Pürrer A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change Urban Planning gis analysis machine learning nature-based solutions spatial analysis spatial planning |
| title | A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change |
| title_full | A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change |
| title_fullStr | A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change |
| title_short | A Machine Learning Approach to Adapt Local Land Use Planning to Climate Change |
| title_sort | machine learning approach to adapt local land use planning to climate change |
| topic | gis analysis machine learning nature-based solutions spatial analysis spatial planning |
| url | https://www.cogitatiopress.com/urbanplanning/article/view/8562 |
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