An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis

Facing an increasingly competitive market, enterprises need correct decisions to solve operational problems in a timely manner to maintain their competitive advantages. In this context, insufficient information may lead to an overfitting phenomenon in general mathematical modeling methods, making it...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jianhong Guo, Che-Jung Chang, Yingyi Huang, Xiaotian Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6312579
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832565425951473664
author Jianhong Guo
Che-Jung Chang
Yingyi Huang
Xiaotian Zhang
author_facet Jianhong Guo
Che-Jung Chang
Yingyi Huang
Xiaotian Zhang
author_sort Jianhong Guo
collection DOAJ
description Facing an increasingly competitive market, enterprises need correct decisions to solve operational problems in a timely manner to maintain their competitive advantages. In this context, insufficient information may lead to an overfitting phenomenon in general mathematical modeling methods, making it difficult to ensure good analytical performance. Therefore, it is important for enterprises to be able to effectively analyze and make predictions using small data sets. Although various approaches have been developed to solve the problem of prediction, their application is often limited by insufficient observations. To further enforce the effectiveness of data uncertainty processing, this study proposed an aggregating prediction model for management decision analysis using small data sets. Compared with six popular approaches, the results from the experiments show that the proposed method can effectively deal with the small data set prediction problem and is thus an appropriate decision analysis tool for managers.
format Article
id doaj-art-1a62b4cf36154b9691ca940c5be07e34
institution Kabale University
issn 1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-1a62b4cf36154b9691ca940c5be07e342025-02-03T01:07:37ZengWileyComplexity1099-05262022-01-01202210.1155/2022/6312579An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision AnalysisJianhong Guo0Che-Jung Chang1Yingyi Huang2Xiaotian Zhang3TSL Business SchoolTSL Business SchoolTSL Business SchoolTSL Business SchoolFacing an increasingly competitive market, enterprises need correct decisions to solve operational problems in a timely manner to maintain their competitive advantages. In this context, insufficient information may lead to an overfitting phenomenon in general mathematical modeling methods, making it difficult to ensure good analytical performance. Therefore, it is important for enterprises to be able to effectively analyze and make predictions using small data sets. Although various approaches have been developed to solve the problem of prediction, their application is often limited by insufficient observations. To further enforce the effectiveness of data uncertainty processing, this study proposed an aggregating prediction model for management decision analysis using small data sets. Compared with six popular approaches, the results from the experiments show that the proposed method can effectively deal with the small data set prediction problem and is thus an appropriate decision analysis tool for managers.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6312579
spellingShingle Jianhong Guo
Che-Jung Chang
Yingyi Huang
Xiaotian Zhang
An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
Complexity
title An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
title_full An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
title_fullStr An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
title_full_unstemmed An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
title_short An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis
title_sort aggregating prediction model for management decision analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6312579
work_keys_str_mv AT jianhongguo anaggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT chejungchang anaggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT yingyihuang anaggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT xiaotianzhang anaggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT jianhongguo aggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT chejungchang aggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT yingyihuang aggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis
AT xiaotianzhang aggregatingpredictionmodelformanagementdecisionanalysis