Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China

Study region: The Songhua River Basin, the Yellow River basin, the Yangtze River basin, and the Pearl River Basin in China. Study focus: Understanding the drought evolution under changing environment is crucial to sustainable water management, especially for China where there are increasing anthropo...

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Main Authors: Haoran Hao, Ningpeng Dong, Mingxiang Yang, Xin Huang, Hejia Wang, Hao Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004427
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author Haoran Hao
Ningpeng Dong
Mingxiang Yang
Xin Huang
Hejia Wang
Hao Wang
author_facet Haoran Hao
Ningpeng Dong
Mingxiang Yang
Xin Huang
Hejia Wang
Hao Wang
author_sort Haoran Hao
collection DOAJ
description Study region: The Songhua River Basin, the Yellow River basin, the Yangtze River basin, and the Pearl River Basin in China. Study focus: Understanding the drought evolution under changing environment is crucial to sustainable water management, especially for China where there are increasing anthropogenic activities. We employ a national-scale land surface-hydrological model (CLHMS v1.1) with representations of human water management and enhance it with dynamic land use setting to investigate the impact of human activities on the drought regime. We first identify the meteorological droughts and hydrological droughts using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI), respectively. Then, two controlled simulation experiments, namely the human altered scenario and the natural scenario, are designed to analyze the human impact on the drought characterisics and propagation. New hydrological insights for the region: The model accurately simulates the SSI under human impacts, with a correlation coefficient ranging from 0.78 to 0.93. In northern basins, human activities decrease the number of hydrological drought events by 50 %, while increasing their severity, duration, and recovery time. Additionally, human activities have prolonged the average propagation time from meteorological to hydrological droughts by approximately 3.4 months. For southern basins, the impact of human activities on the drought regime is similar to that in northern basins but to a lesser extent.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2214-5818
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj-art-19bfbee04d2d4b53bef45801c72d42da2025-01-22T05:41:59ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102093Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of ChinaHaoran Hao0Ningpeng Dong1Mingxiang Yang2Xin Huang3Hejia Wang4Hao Wang5State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Intelligent Construction and Operation, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China; State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China; Corresponding authors.State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China; Corresponding authors.Hydrology Bureau of Haihe River Water Conservancy Commission, MWR, Tianjin 300170, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, ChinaStudy region: The Songhua River Basin, the Yellow River basin, the Yangtze River basin, and the Pearl River Basin in China. Study focus: Understanding the drought evolution under changing environment is crucial to sustainable water management, especially for China where there are increasing anthropogenic activities. We employ a national-scale land surface-hydrological model (CLHMS v1.1) with representations of human water management and enhance it with dynamic land use setting to investigate the impact of human activities on the drought regime. We first identify the meteorological droughts and hydrological droughts using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI), respectively. Then, two controlled simulation experiments, namely the human altered scenario and the natural scenario, are designed to analyze the human impact on the drought characterisics and propagation. New hydrological insights for the region: The model accurately simulates the SSI under human impacts, with a correlation coefficient ranging from 0.78 to 0.93. In northern basins, human activities decrease the number of hydrological drought events by 50 %, while increasing their severity, duration, and recovery time. Additionally, human activities have prolonged the average propagation time from meteorological to hydrological droughts by approximately 3.4 months. For southern basins, the impact of human activities on the drought regime is similar to that in northern basins but to a lesser extent.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004427Hydrologic modellingStandardized drought indiceAnthropogenic impactPropagation time
spellingShingle Haoran Hao
Ningpeng Dong
Mingxiang Yang
Xin Huang
Hejia Wang
Hao Wang
Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Hydrologic modelling
Standardized drought indice
Anthropogenic impact
Propagation time
title Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
title_full Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
title_fullStr Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
title_full_unstemmed Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
title_short Drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts: A regional-scale modelling analysis in four Large Basins of China
title_sort drought characteristics and propagation under anthropogenic impacts a regional scale modelling analysis in four large basins of china
topic Hydrologic modelling
Standardized drought indice
Anthropogenic impact
Propagation time
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004427
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