Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model

In complex marine environments, accurate prediction of maneuvering motion is crucial for the precise control of intelligent ships. This study aims to enhance the predictive capabilities of maneuvering motion for intelligent ships in such environments. We propose a novel maneuvering motion prediction...

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Main Authors: Dongyu Liu, Xiaopeng Gao, Cong Huo, Wentao Su
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-03-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/3/503
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author Dongyu Liu
Xiaopeng Gao
Cong Huo
Wentao Su
author_facet Dongyu Liu
Xiaopeng Gao
Cong Huo
Wentao Su
author_sort Dongyu Liu
collection DOAJ
description In complex marine environments, accurate prediction of maneuvering motion is crucial for the precise control of intelligent ships. This study aims to enhance the predictive capabilities of maneuvering motion for intelligent ships in such environments. We propose a novel maneuvering motion prediction method based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms (MHAM). To construct a foundational dataset, we integrate Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) numerical simulation technology to develop a mathematical model of actual ship maneuvering motions influenced by wind, waves, and currents. We simulate typical operating conditions to acquire relevant data. To emulate real marine environmental noise and data loss phenomena, we introduce Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) noise and random occlusion noise into the data and apply the MaxAbsScaler method for dataset normalization. Subsequently, we develop a black-box model for intelligent ship maneuvering motion prediction based on LSTM networks and Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms. We conduct a comprehensive analysis and discussion of the model structure and hyperparameters, iteratively optimize the model, and compare the optimized model with standalone LSTM and MHAM approaches. Finally, we perform generalization testing on the optimized motion prediction model using test sets for zigzag and turning conditions. The results demonstrate that our proposed model significantly improves the accuracy of ship maneuvering predictions compared to standalone LSTM and MHAM algorithms and exhibits superior generalization performance.
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spelling doaj-art-18e924a9700a4e43ac44a0c6ef968afe2025-08-20T02:11:21ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122025-03-0113350310.3390/jmse13030503Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention ModelDongyu Liu0Xiaopeng Gao1Cong Huo2Wentao Su3College of Ships and Oceanography, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, ChinaCollege of Ships and Oceanography, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, ChinaCollege of Ships and Oceanography, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, ChinaCollege of Ships and Oceanography, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, ChinaIn complex marine environments, accurate prediction of maneuvering motion is crucial for the precise control of intelligent ships. This study aims to enhance the predictive capabilities of maneuvering motion for intelligent ships in such environments. We propose a novel maneuvering motion prediction method based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms (MHAM). To construct a foundational dataset, we integrate Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) numerical simulation technology to develop a mathematical model of actual ship maneuvering motions influenced by wind, waves, and currents. We simulate typical operating conditions to acquire relevant data. To emulate real marine environmental noise and data loss phenomena, we introduce Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) noise and random occlusion noise into the data and apply the MaxAbsScaler method for dataset normalization. Subsequently, we develop a black-box model for intelligent ship maneuvering motion prediction based on LSTM networks and Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms. We conduct a comprehensive analysis and discussion of the model structure and hyperparameters, iteratively optimize the model, and compare the optimized model with standalone LSTM and MHAM approaches. Finally, we perform generalization testing on the optimized motion prediction model using test sets for zigzag and turning conditions. The results demonstrate that our proposed model significantly improves the accuracy of ship maneuvering predictions compared to standalone LSTM and MHAM algorithms and exhibits superior generalization performance.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/3/503intelligent shipsmaneuvering motion predictionLong Short-Term Memory NetworkMulti-Head Attention MechanismsComputational Fluid Dynamicsmaneuvering mathematical model
spellingShingle Dongyu Liu
Xiaopeng Gao
Cong Huo
Wentao Su
Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
intelligent ships
maneuvering motion prediction
Long Short-Term Memory Network
Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms
Computational Fluid Dynamics
maneuvering mathematical model
title Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
title_full Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
title_fullStr Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
title_full_unstemmed Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
title_short Research on Maneuvering Motion Prediction for Intelligent Ships Based on LSTM-Multi-Head Attention Model
title_sort research on maneuvering motion prediction for intelligent ships based on lstm multi head attention model
topic intelligent ships
maneuvering motion prediction
Long Short-Term Memory Network
Multi-Head Attention Mechanisms
Computational Fluid Dynamics
maneuvering mathematical model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/3/503
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AT conghuo researchonmaneuveringmotionpredictionforintelligentshipsbasedonlstmmultiheadattentionmodel
AT wentaosu researchonmaneuveringmotionpredictionforintelligentshipsbasedonlstmmultiheadattentionmodel