Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species
Over the last few decades, tropical forests have suffered significant changes due to land use and vegetation suppression caused by activities such as monocultures, cattle ranching and mining, which have favored the process of fragmentation and deforestation. Habitat loss and fragmentation are some o...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Global Ecology and Conservation |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989424005572 |
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| author | Kauê Felippe de Moraes Marcela Guimarães Moreira Lima Gabriela Ribeiro Gonçalves Larissa Hasnah Queiroz dos Santos Marcos Pérsio Dantas Santos |
| author_facet | Kauê Felippe de Moraes Marcela Guimarães Moreira Lima Gabriela Ribeiro Gonçalves Larissa Hasnah Queiroz dos Santos Marcos Pérsio Dantas Santos |
| author_sort | Kauê Felippe de Moraes |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Over the last few decades, tropical forests have suffered significant changes due to land use and vegetation suppression caused by activities such as monocultures, cattle ranching and mining, which have favored the process of fragmentation and deforestation. Habitat loss and fragmentation are some of the main impacts affecting biodiversity. In this context, we estimated the potential distribution of Guaruba guarouba, a Psittacine species endemic to the Amazon rainforest, to assess the effects of climate change and deforestation in a current and future scenario, as well as evaluate the representativeness of this species in the current system of protected areas in the Amazon. Our results showed a loss of 80 % and 100 % of the area suitable for the occurrence of G. guarouba in optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, respectively. We also found that this species, currently classified as Vulnerable (VU) in The International Union for Conservation of Nature's (IUCN) red list, would be classified as Critically Endangered (CR) and/or Extinct (EX) in the future. Therefore, to guarantee the conservation of G. guarouba, it is important to develop environmental protection policies, encourage the conservation of remaining vegetation and create new protected areas. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-184b5bf1dd8549e2ac1164e34d966320 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2351-9894 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Global Ecology and Conservation |
| spelling | doaj-art-184b5bf1dd8549e2ac1164e34d9663202025-01-23T05:26:52ZengElsevierGlobal Ecology and Conservation2351-98942025-01-0157e03353Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship speciesKauê Felippe de Moraes0Marcela Guimarães Moreira Lima1Gabriela Ribeiro Gonçalves2Larissa Hasnah Queiroz dos Santos3Marcos Pérsio Dantas Santos4Universidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil; Programa de Pós-graduação em Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil; Programa Pós-graduação em Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil; Programa de Pós-graduação em Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil; Programa Pós-graduação em Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil; Programa de Pós-graduação em Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil; Programa Pós-graduação em Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil; Programa de Pós-graduação em Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil; Corresponding author at: Universidade Federal do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Biogeografia da Conservação e Macroecologia -BIOMACRO, Av. Augusto Correia, nº 1, Guamá, Belém, Para CEP 66075-110, Brazil.Over the last few decades, tropical forests have suffered significant changes due to land use and vegetation suppression caused by activities such as monocultures, cattle ranching and mining, which have favored the process of fragmentation and deforestation. Habitat loss and fragmentation are some of the main impacts affecting biodiversity. In this context, we estimated the potential distribution of Guaruba guarouba, a Psittacine species endemic to the Amazon rainforest, to assess the effects of climate change and deforestation in a current and future scenario, as well as evaluate the representativeness of this species in the current system of protected areas in the Amazon. Our results showed a loss of 80 % and 100 % of the area suitable for the occurrence of G. guarouba in optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, respectively. We also found that this species, currently classified as Vulnerable (VU) in The International Union for Conservation of Nature's (IUCN) red list, would be classified as Critically Endangered (CR) and/or Extinct (EX) in the future. Therefore, to guarantee the conservation of G. guarouba, it is important to develop environmental protection policies, encourage the conservation of remaining vegetation and create new protected areas.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989424005572Climate changesDeforestationSpecies distribution modelBirdConservationHabitat suitability |
| spellingShingle | Kauê Felippe de Moraes Marcela Guimarães Moreira Lima Gabriela Ribeiro Gonçalves Larissa Hasnah Queiroz dos Santos Marcos Pérsio Dantas Santos Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species Global Ecology and Conservation Climate changes Deforestation Species distribution model Bird Conservation Habitat suitability |
| title | Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species |
| title_full | Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species |
| title_fullStr | Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species |
| title_short | Projections of future distribution for the Golden Parakeet (Guaruba guarouba) indicate increased extinction risk for an Amazonian flagship species |
| title_sort | projections of future distribution for the golden parakeet guaruba guarouba indicate increased extinction risk for an amazonian flagship species |
| topic | Climate changes Deforestation Species distribution model Bird Conservation Habitat suitability |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989424005572 |
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