Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model

Intensive Care Units (ICUs) have been in great demand worldwide since the COVID-19 pandemic, necessitating organized allocation. The spike in critical care patients has overloaded ICUs, which along with prolonged hospitalizations, has increased workload for medical personnel and lead to a significan...

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Main Author: A. M. Mutawa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Big Data and Cognitive Computing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-2289/9/1/13
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author A. M. Mutawa
author_facet A. M. Mutawa
author_sort A. M. Mutawa
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description Intensive Care Units (ICUs) have been in great demand worldwide since the COVID-19 pandemic, necessitating organized allocation. The spike in critical care patients has overloaded ICUs, which along with prolonged hospitalizations, has increased workload for medical personnel and lead to a significant shortage of resources. The study aimed to improve resource management by quickly and accurately identifying patients who need ICU admission. We designed an intelligent decision support system that employs machine learning (ML) to anticipate COVID-19 ICU admissions in Kuwait. Our algorithm examines several clinical and demographic characteristics to identify high-risk individuals early in illness diagnosis. We used 4399 patients to identify ICU admission with predictors such as shortness of breath, high D-dimer values, and abnormal chest X-rays. Any data imbalance was addressed by employing cross-validation along with the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), the feature selection was refined using backward elimination, and the model interpretability was improved using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). We employed various ML classifiers, including support vector machines (SVM). The SVM model surpasses all other models in terms of precision (0.99) and area under curve (AUC, 0.91). This study investigated the healthcare process during a pandemic, facilitating ML-based decision-making solutions to confront healthcare problems.
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spelling doaj-art-16a5817aad0447d590b753bc3c51dba52025-01-24T13:22:33ZengMDPI AGBig Data and Cognitive Computing2504-22892025-01-01911310.3390/bdcc9010013Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning ModelA. M. Mutawa0Computer Engineering Department, Kuwait University, Safat 13060, KuwaitIntensive Care Units (ICUs) have been in great demand worldwide since the COVID-19 pandemic, necessitating organized allocation. The spike in critical care patients has overloaded ICUs, which along with prolonged hospitalizations, has increased workload for medical personnel and lead to a significant shortage of resources. The study aimed to improve resource management by quickly and accurately identifying patients who need ICU admission. We designed an intelligent decision support system that employs machine learning (ML) to anticipate COVID-19 ICU admissions in Kuwait. Our algorithm examines several clinical and demographic characteristics to identify high-risk individuals early in illness diagnosis. We used 4399 patients to identify ICU admission with predictors such as shortness of breath, high D-dimer values, and abnormal chest X-rays. Any data imbalance was addressed by employing cross-validation along with the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), the feature selection was refined using backward elimination, and the model interpretability was improved using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). We employed various ML classifiers, including support vector machines (SVM). The SVM model surpasses all other models in terms of precision (0.99) and area under curve (AUC, 0.91). This study investigated the healthcare process during a pandemic, facilitating ML-based decision-making solutions to confront healthcare problems.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-2289/9/1/13COVID-19feature selectionintensive care unitmachine learningSMOTESHAP
spellingShingle A. M. Mutawa
Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
Big Data and Cognitive Computing
COVID-19
feature selection
intensive care unit
machine learning
SMOTE
SHAP
title Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
title_full Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
title_fullStr Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
title_short Predicting Intensive Care Unit Admissions in COVID-19 Patients: An AI-Powered Machine Learning Model
title_sort predicting intensive care unit admissions in covid 19 patients an ai powered machine learning model
topic COVID-19
feature selection
intensive care unit
machine learning
SMOTE
SHAP
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-2289/9/1/13
work_keys_str_mv AT ammutawa predictingintensivecareunitadmissionsincovid19patientsanaipoweredmachinelearningmodel