Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2013-01-01
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Series: | Abstract and Applied Analysis |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394 |
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author | Liang'an Huo Tingting Lin Peiqing Huang |
author_facet | Liang'an Huo Tingting Lin Peiqing Huang |
author_sort | Liang'an Huo |
collection | DOAJ |
description | A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-1515239c238e42ba9dd01746935c138e |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1085-3375 1687-0409 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2013-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Abstract and Applied Analysis |
spelling | doaj-art-1515239c238e42ba9dd01746935c138e2025-02-03T01:13:12ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092013-01-01201310.1155/2013/282394282394Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency EventLiang'an Huo0Tingting Lin1Peiqing Huang2Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, ChinaDepartment of Computer and Engineering, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200052, ChinaA rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394 |
spellingShingle | Liang'an Huo Tingting Lin Peiqing Huang Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event Abstract and Applied Analysis |
title | Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event |
title_full | Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event |
title_fullStr | Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event |
title_short | Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event |
title_sort | dynamical behavior of a rumor transmission model with psychological effect in emergency event |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT lianganhuo dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent AT tingtinglin dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent AT peiqinghuang dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent |