Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event

A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor...

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Main Authors: Liang'an Huo, Tingting Lin, Peiqing Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394
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author Liang'an Huo
Tingting Lin
Peiqing Huang
author_facet Liang'an Huo
Tingting Lin
Peiqing Huang
author_sort Liang'an Huo
collection DOAJ
description A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-1515239c238e42ba9dd01746935c138e2025-02-03T01:13:12ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092013-01-01201310.1155/2013/282394282394Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency EventLiang'an Huo0Tingting Lin1Peiqing Huang2Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, ChinaDepartment of Computer and Engineering, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200052, ChinaA rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394
spellingShingle Liang'an Huo
Tingting Lin
Peiqing Huang
Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
title_full Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
title_fullStr Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
title_full_unstemmed Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
title_short Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event
title_sort dynamical behavior of a rumor transmission model with psychological effect in emergency event
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394
work_keys_str_mv AT lianganhuo dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent
AT tingtinglin dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent
AT peiqinghuang dynamicalbehaviorofarumortransmissionmodelwithpsychologicaleffectinemergencyevent