Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan

Sand and dust storms significantly challenge microwave and millimeter-wave communications, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. Various models have been developed to predict attenuation caused by these storms theoretically and empirically based on two meteorological parameters, namely visibil...

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Main Authors: Elfatih A. A. Elsheikh, E. I. Eltahir, Abdulkadir Tasdelen, Mosab Hamdan, Md Rafiqul Islam, Mohamed Hadi Habaebi, Aisha H. Abdullah Hashim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10843207/
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author Elfatih A. A. Elsheikh
E. I. Eltahir
Abdulkadir Tasdelen
Mosab Hamdan
Md Rafiqul Islam
Mohamed Hadi Habaebi
Aisha H. Abdullah Hashim
author_facet Elfatih A. A. Elsheikh
E. I. Eltahir
Abdulkadir Tasdelen
Mosab Hamdan
Md Rafiqul Islam
Mohamed Hadi Habaebi
Aisha H. Abdullah Hashim
author_sort Elfatih A. A. Elsheikh
collection DOAJ
description Sand and dust storms significantly challenge microwave and millimeter-wave communications, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. Various models have been developed to predict attenuation caused by these storms theoretically and empirically based on two meteorological parameters, namely visibility and humidity. However, these models are found unable to predict most of the attenuation measurements. This study presents a hybrid Machine Learning (ML) model that predicts dust storm attenuation for 22 GHz terrestrial links using meteorological data. The received signal levels were measured for a 22 GHz link over a month in Khartoum, Sudan. The visibility, humidity, atmospheric pressure, temperature and wind speed were also monitored simultaneously by Automatic Weather Station (AWS). The proposed model incorporates XGBoost for feature selection and combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) layers to capture both short-term and long-term dependencies in meteorological data. The results demonstrate a strong correlation between meteorological parameters and dust storm attenuation. The model’s performance is validated against the measured data at 22 GHz, outperforming existing empirical and theoretical models. The RMSE for the proposed model is 0.07, while all existing theoretical and empirical models are higher than 0.25. Furthermore, the proposed model demonstrates significant enhancements over the available ML model for dust attenuation prediction. This hybrid ML approach offers a more accurate and robust solution for predicting microwave and millimetre wave attenuation during dust storms, enhancing the reliability of communication systems in affected regions.
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spelling doaj-art-1408718afe004d928cd4ccbbaff7bf6d2025-01-25T00:01:33ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113125541256510.1109/ACCESS.2025.353026110843207Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in SudanElfatih A. A. Elsheikh0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9556-5861E. I. Eltahir1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-5144Abdulkadir Tasdelen2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4402-1463Mosab Hamdan3Md Rafiqul Islam4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0808-2840Mohamed Hadi Habaebi5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2263-0850Aisha H. Abdullah Hashim6https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6331-1373Department of Electrical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Khalid University, Abha, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaSchool of Computing, National College of Ireland, Dublin 15, IrelandDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaSand and dust storms significantly challenge microwave and millimeter-wave communications, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. Various models have been developed to predict attenuation caused by these storms theoretically and empirically based on two meteorological parameters, namely visibility and humidity. However, these models are found unable to predict most of the attenuation measurements. This study presents a hybrid Machine Learning (ML) model that predicts dust storm attenuation for 22 GHz terrestrial links using meteorological data. The received signal levels were measured for a 22 GHz link over a month in Khartoum, Sudan. The visibility, humidity, atmospheric pressure, temperature and wind speed were also monitored simultaneously by Automatic Weather Station (AWS). The proposed model incorporates XGBoost for feature selection and combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) layers to capture both short-term and long-term dependencies in meteorological data. The results demonstrate a strong correlation between meteorological parameters and dust storm attenuation. The model’s performance is validated against the measured data at 22 GHz, outperforming existing empirical and theoretical models. The RMSE for the proposed model is 0.07, while all existing theoretical and empirical models are higher than 0.25. Furthermore, the proposed model demonstrates significant enhancements over the available ML model for dust attenuation prediction. This hybrid ML approach offers a more accurate and robust solution for predicting microwave and millimetre wave attenuation during dust storms, enhancing the reliability of communication systems in affected regions.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10843207/Dust storm attenuationmicrowave propagationmeteorological parametersterrestrial communicationmachine learningXGBoost
spellingShingle Elfatih A. A. Elsheikh
E. I. Eltahir
Abdulkadir Tasdelen
Mosab Hamdan
Md Rafiqul Islam
Mohamed Hadi Habaebi
Aisha H. Abdullah Hashim
Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
IEEE Access
Dust storm attenuation
microwave propagation
meteorological parameters
terrestrial communication
machine learning
XGBoost
title Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
title_full Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
title_fullStr Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
title_full_unstemmed Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
title_short Dust Storm Attenuation Prediction Using a Hybrid Machine Learning Model Based on Measurements in Sudan
title_sort dust storm attenuation prediction using a hybrid machine learning model based on measurements in sudan
topic Dust storm attenuation
microwave propagation
meteorological parameters
terrestrial communication
machine learning
XGBoost
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10843207/
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