Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data

This article investigates a survival analysis under randomly censored mortality distribution. From the perspective of frequentist, we derive the point estimations through the method of maximum likelihood estimation. Furthermore, approximate confidence intervals for the parameters are constructed bas...

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Main Authors: Rashad M. EL-Sagheer, Mohamed S. Eliwa, Khaled M. Alqahtani, Mahmoud EL-Morshedy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8300753
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author Rashad M. EL-Sagheer
Mohamed S. Eliwa
Khaled M. Alqahtani
Mahmoud EL-Morshedy
author_facet Rashad M. EL-Sagheer
Mohamed S. Eliwa
Khaled M. Alqahtani
Mahmoud EL-Morshedy
author_sort Rashad M. EL-Sagheer
collection DOAJ
description This article investigates a survival analysis under randomly censored mortality distribution. From the perspective of frequentist, we derive the point estimations through the method of maximum likelihood estimation. Furthermore, approximate confidence intervals for the parameters are constructed based on the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimators. Besides, two parametric bootstraps are implemented to construct the approximate confidence intervals for the unknown parameters. In Bayesian framework, the Bayes estimates of the unknown parameters are evaluated by applying the Markov chain Monte Carlo technique, and highest posterior density credible intervals are also carried out. In addition, the Bayes inference based on symmetric and asymmetric loss functions is obtained. Finally, Monte Carlo simulation is performed to observe the behavior of the proposed methods, and a real data set of COVID-19 mortality rate is analyzed for illustration.
format Article
id doaj-art-12b7b479cb134178b79f402c8b977242
institution Kabale University
issn 2314-4785
language English
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-12b7b479cb134178b79f402c8b9772422025-02-03T05:53:28ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852022-01-01202210.1155/2022/8300753Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 DataRashad M. EL-Sagheer0Mohamed S. Eliwa1Khaled M. Alqahtani2Mahmoud EL-Morshedy3Department of MathematicsDepartment of Statistics and Operation ResearchDepartment of MathematicsDepartment of MathematicsThis article investigates a survival analysis under randomly censored mortality distribution. From the perspective of frequentist, we derive the point estimations through the method of maximum likelihood estimation. Furthermore, approximate confidence intervals for the parameters are constructed based on the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimators. Besides, two parametric bootstraps are implemented to construct the approximate confidence intervals for the unknown parameters. In Bayesian framework, the Bayes estimates of the unknown parameters are evaluated by applying the Markov chain Monte Carlo technique, and highest posterior density credible intervals are also carried out. In addition, the Bayes inference based on symmetric and asymmetric loss functions is obtained. Finally, Monte Carlo simulation is performed to observe the behavior of the proposed methods, and a real data set of COVID-19 mortality rate is analyzed for illustration.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8300753
spellingShingle Rashad M. EL-Sagheer
Mohamed S. Eliwa
Khaled M. Alqahtani
Mahmoud EL-Morshedy
Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
Journal of Mathematics
title Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
title_full Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
title_fullStr Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
title_short Asymmetric Randomly Censored Mortality Distribution: Bayesian Framework and Parametric Bootstrap with Application to COVID-19 Data
title_sort asymmetric randomly censored mortality distribution bayesian framework and parametric bootstrap with application to covid 19 data
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8300753
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AT khaledmalqahtani asymmetricrandomlycensoredmortalitydistributionbayesianframeworkandparametricbootstrapwithapplicationtocovid19data
AT mahmoudelmorshedy asymmetricrandomlycensoredmortalitydistributionbayesianframeworkandparametricbootstrapwithapplicationtocovid19data