Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study

Abstract Dhaka city is experiencing tremendous growth in traffic. Until recently, the city’s demand for traffic was entirely served by public buses, a mix of motorized and non-motorized paratransit, and private personalized transport. The first ever rail-based metro, mass rapid transit (MRT), namely...

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Main Authors: Sayeda Laizu Aktar, Moon Islam, Nazifa Anzum, Sarah Tahsin, Md Waliullah, Md.Musleh Uddin Hasan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2024-10-01
Series:Urban Rail Transit
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s40864-024-00233-5
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author Sayeda Laizu Aktar
Moon Islam
Nazifa Anzum
Sarah Tahsin
Md Waliullah
Md.Musleh Uddin Hasan
author_facet Sayeda Laizu Aktar
Moon Islam
Nazifa Anzum
Sarah Tahsin
Md Waliullah
Md.Musleh Uddin Hasan
author_sort Sayeda Laizu Aktar
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Dhaka city is experiencing tremendous growth in traffic. Until recently, the city’s demand for traffic was entirely served by public buses, a mix of motorized and non-motorized paratransit, and private personalized transport. The first ever rail-based metro, mass rapid transit (MRT), namely MRT Line 6, was partially inaugurated on 28 December 2022. Authority expects that there will be visible modal shift. However, MRT systems in many Asian and European countries are attracting much lower private motorists than what is expected. Moreover, in Dhaka, a unique mix in road-based transport with public transit and varieties of paratransit and private personalized vehicles intensifies the uncertainties involved in modal shift. Therefore, based on a field survey done before four (04) months of the partial inauguration of MRT Line 6, this study intends to explore the modal shift potentials of different mode users to a completely new mode and the modal choice factors. The analysis of the results finds overall, 75% of all mode users are willing to shift, while para and public transit users are comparatively more willing than private personalized vehicle users. However, such willingness comes up with one or more conditions: comfort, reasonable fare, reduced total travel time, less crowd, etc. The study finds that affordability, availability, and accessibility factors have an influence on their modal shift behavior. Also, results from binary logistic model identify significant impact of several sociodemographic, trip- and accessibility-related factors influencing modal shift choice. Findings from this study explain the optimism regarding MRT by different mode users and inform the decision-makers about their course of actions including different interventions, strict and carrot approaches to hold on to the potential shifters and attract more.
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spelling doaj-art-104f7d5421b44ca092ea8f8e7cdf5ca32025-08-20T02:13:31ZengSpringerOpenUrban Rail Transit2199-66872199-66792024-10-0110428129610.1007/s40864-024-00233-5Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch StudySayeda Laizu Aktar0Moon Islam1Nazifa Anzum2Sarah Tahsin3Md Waliullah4Md.Musleh Uddin Hasan5Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Department of Urban and Regional Planning (URP), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET)Abstract Dhaka city is experiencing tremendous growth in traffic. Until recently, the city’s demand for traffic was entirely served by public buses, a mix of motorized and non-motorized paratransit, and private personalized transport. The first ever rail-based metro, mass rapid transit (MRT), namely MRT Line 6, was partially inaugurated on 28 December 2022. Authority expects that there will be visible modal shift. However, MRT systems in many Asian and European countries are attracting much lower private motorists than what is expected. Moreover, in Dhaka, a unique mix in road-based transport with public transit and varieties of paratransit and private personalized vehicles intensifies the uncertainties involved in modal shift. Therefore, based on a field survey done before four (04) months of the partial inauguration of MRT Line 6, this study intends to explore the modal shift potentials of different mode users to a completely new mode and the modal choice factors. The analysis of the results finds overall, 75% of all mode users are willing to shift, while para and public transit users are comparatively more willing than private personalized vehicle users. However, such willingness comes up with one or more conditions: comfort, reasonable fare, reduced total travel time, less crowd, etc. The study finds that affordability, availability, and accessibility factors have an influence on their modal shift behavior. Also, results from binary logistic model identify significant impact of several sociodemographic, trip- and accessibility-related factors influencing modal shift choice. Findings from this study explain the optimism regarding MRT by different mode users and inform the decision-makers about their course of actions including different interventions, strict and carrot approaches to hold on to the potential shifters and attract more.https://doi.org/10.1007/s40864-024-00233-5Dhaka cityMRTMode usersModal shift
spellingShingle Sayeda Laizu Aktar
Moon Islam
Nazifa Anzum
Sarah Tahsin
Md Waliullah
Md.Musleh Uddin Hasan
Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
Urban Rail Transit
Dhaka city
MRT
Mode users
Modal shift
title Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
title_full Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
title_fullStr Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
title_full_unstemmed Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
title_short Modal Shift Potential of Different Mode Users Due to Introduction of the First MRT in Dhaka: A Prelaunch Study
title_sort modal shift potential of different mode users due to introduction of the first mrt in dhaka a prelaunch study
topic Dhaka city
MRT
Mode users
Modal shift
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s40864-024-00233-5
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