A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression

Sales forecasting plays an important role in operating a business since it can be used to determine the required inventory level to meet consumer demand and avoid the problem of under/overstocking. Improving the accuracy of sales forecasting has become an important issue of operating a business. Thi...

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Main Authors: Chi-Jie Lu, Chi-Chang Chang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/624017
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author Chi-Jie Lu
Chi-Chang Chang
author_facet Chi-Jie Lu
Chi-Chang Chang
author_sort Chi-Jie Lu
collection DOAJ
description Sales forecasting plays an important role in operating a business since it can be used to determine the required inventory level to meet consumer demand and avoid the problem of under/overstocking. Improving the accuracy of sales forecasting has become an important issue of operating a business. This study proposes a hybrid sales forecasting scheme by combining independent component analysis (ICA) with K-means clustering and support vector regression (SVR). The proposed scheme first uses the ICA to extract hidden information from the observed sales data. The extracted features are then applied to K-means algorithm for clustering the sales data into several disjoined clusters. Finally, the SVR forecasting models are applied to each group to generate final forecasting results. Experimental results from information technology (IT) product agent sales data reveal that the proposed sales forecasting scheme outperforms the three comparison models and hence provides an efficient alternative for sales forecasting.
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series The Scientific World Journal
spelling doaj-art-0f9e985d47134686bf3f9b29157d034a2025-02-03T01:20:40ZengWileyThe Scientific World Journal2356-61401537-744X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/624017624017A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector RegressionChi-Jie Lu0Chi-Chang Chang1Department of Industrial Management, Chien Hsin University of Science and Technology, Taoyuan County 32097, TaiwanSchool of Medical Informatics, Chung Shan Medical University, Information Technology Office, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung City 40201, TaiwanSales forecasting plays an important role in operating a business since it can be used to determine the required inventory level to meet consumer demand and avoid the problem of under/overstocking. Improving the accuracy of sales forecasting has become an important issue of operating a business. This study proposes a hybrid sales forecasting scheme by combining independent component analysis (ICA) with K-means clustering and support vector regression (SVR). The proposed scheme first uses the ICA to extract hidden information from the observed sales data. The extracted features are then applied to K-means algorithm for clustering the sales data into several disjoined clusters. Finally, the SVR forecasting models are applied to each group to generate final forecasting results. Experimental results from information technology (IT) product agent sales data reveal that the proposed sales forecasting scheme outperforms the three comparison models and hence provides an efficient alternative for sales forecasting.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/624017
spellingShingle Chi-Jie Lu
Chi-Chang Chang
A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
The Scientific World Journal
title A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
title_full A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
title_fullStr A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
title_short A Hybrid Sales Forecasting Scheme by Combining Independent Component Analysis with K-Means Clustering and Support Vector Regression
title_sort hybrid sales forecasting scheme by combining independent component analysis with k means clustering and support vector regression
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/624017
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