Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime

Ukrainian universities operate under uncertain conditions and numerous challenges during wartime, significantly affecting their stability. This paper aims to identify and classify the key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime and propose proactive tools for their mitigation...

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Main Authors: Olha Doronina, Liudmyla Yurchyshena, Kseniia Bondarevska, Ihor Vechirko, Tetiana Kulinich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2025-02-01
Series:Problems and Perspectives in Management
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Online Access:https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21523/PPM_2025_02(si)_Doronina.pdf
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author Olha Doronina
Liudmyla Yurchyshena
Kseniia Bondarevska
Ihor Vechirko
Tetiana Kulinich
author_facet Olha Doronina
Liudmyla Yurchyshena
Kseniia Bondarevska
Ihor Vechirko
Tetiana Kulinich
author_sort Olha Doronina
collection DOAJ
description Ukrainian universities operate under uncertain conditions and numerous challenges during wartime, significantly affecting their stability. This paper aims to identify and classify the key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime and propose proactive tools for their mitigation. The study focuses on financial, personnel, and social risks, which are highlighted as the most critical under current circumstances. The data were sourced from the official websites of 10 universities, Open Budget, and the official websites of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine and the State Statistics Service of Ukraine. The methodology combines theoretical analysis and statistical evaluation, including calculating marginal income – representing the portion of income covered by variable costs – and the operating margin ratio, defined as the ratio of marginal income to total income. Financial risks include a 7.9% reduction in education budget allocations, decreased subsidies, and insufficient state support. Personnel risks are analyzed through indicators, e.g., uncompetitive average hourly wages, leading to staff attrition and reduced motivation. The findings propose a multi-level classification of risks, categorizing them into external and internal with subcategories such as financial, personnel, and social ones. Non-traditional financial measures, such as unpaid leave and allowance reductions, were observed as short-term crisis strategies but require further evaluation to assess their long-term impact. The paper contributes to academic discourse by outlining challenges to university stability during wartime and providing a foundation for future research into effective risk mitigation strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-0ee02c08b23f4a65b9e793ddb344a49b2025-02-01T10:51:43ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Problems and Perspectives in Management1727-70511810-54672025-02-01232547010.21511/ppm.23(2-si).2025.0521523Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartimeOlha Doronina0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3470-4172Liudmyla Yurchyshena1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5904-0758Kseniia Bondarevska2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8683-6834Ihor Vechirko3https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6700-4425Tetiana Kulinich4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0110-7080Doctor of Science in Economics, Professor, Head of Department of Management and Behavioral Economics, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, UkrainePh.D. in Economics, Associate Professor, Head of Department of Finance and Banking, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, UkraineDoctor of Science in Economics, Professor, Department of Social Security and Tax Policy, University of Customs and Finance, UkrainePh.D. in Law, Department of Fundamental and Private Legal Disciplines, Vinnytsia Mykhailo Kotsiubynskyi State Pedagogical University, UkrainePh.D., Associate Professor, Department of Organizational Management, Lviv Polytechnic National UniversityUkrainian universities operate under uncertain conditions and numerous challenges during wartime, significantly affecting their stability. This paper aims to identify and classify the key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime and propose proactive tools for their mitigation. The study focuses on financial, personnel, and social risks, which are highlighted as the most critical under current circumstances. The data were sourced from the official websites of 10 universities, Open Budget, and the official websites of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine and the State Statistics Service of Ukraine. The methodology combines theoretical analysis and statistical evaluation, including calculating marginal income – representing the portion of income covered by variable costs – and the operating margin ratio, defined as the ratio of marginal income to total income. Financial risks include a 7.9% reduction in education budget allocations, decreased subsidies, and insufficient state support. Personnel risks are analyzed through indicators, e.g., uncompetitive average hourly wages, leading to staff attrition and reduced motivation. The findings propose a multi-level classification of risks, categorizing them into external and internal with subcategories such as financial, personnel, and social ones. Non-traditional financial measures, such as unpaid leave and allowance reductions, were observed as short-term crisis strategies but require further evaluation to assess their long-term impact. The paper contributes to academic discourse by outlining challenges to university stability during wartime and providing a foundation for future research into effective risk mitigation strategies.https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21523/PPM_2025_02(si)_Doronina.pdfeducation expendituresfinancehigher educationmanagementpersonnelrisk
spellingShingle Olha Doronina
Liudmyla Yurchyshena
Kseniia Bondarevska
Ihor Vechirko
Tetiana Kulinich
Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
Problems and Perspectives in Management
education expenditures
finance
higher education
management
personnel
risk
title Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
title_full Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
title_fullStr Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
title_full_unstemmed Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
title_short Identifying key risks to the stability of Ukrainian universities during wartime
title_sort identifying key risks to the stability of ukrainian universities during wartime
topic education expenditures
finance
higher education
management
personnel
risk
url https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21523/PPM_2025_02(si)_Doronina.pdf
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AT kseniiabondarevska identifyingkeyriskstothestabilityofukrainianuniversitiesduringwartime
AT ihorvechirko identifyingkeyriskstothestabilityofukrainianuniversitiesduringwartime
AT tetianakulinich identifyingkeyriskstothestabilityofukrainianuniversitiesduringwartime