Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation

In the conditions of instability of the Russian economy, Russian regions have faced the problem of finding new directions of foreign economic development. Mathematical modeling methods, considering the distance between partner regions and their economies volumes, can be effective tools for solving t...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yu. A. Shakirova, A. A. Gataullina, N. I. Shamsutdinova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2024-06-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5234
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832541453152157696
author Yu. A. Shakirova
A. A. Gataullina
N. I. Shamsutdinova
author_facet Yu. A. Shakirova
A. A. Gataullina
N. I. Shamsutdinova
author_sort Yu. A. Shakirova
collection DOAJ
description In the conditions of instability of the Russian economy, Russian regions have faced the problem of finding new directions of foreign economic development. Mathematical modeling methods, considering the distance between partner regions and their economies volumes, can be effective tools for solving the problem. The article touches upon the modeling foreign trade relations issues in the Republic of Tatarstan on the gravity models’ basis. The purpose of the study is to identify potential trade partners and assess the prospects for the export relations development in the Republic of Tatarstan. The structure, dynamics, and main directions of exports of the constituent entity have been analyzed. Potential trade partners of the Republic of Tatarstan among the Commonwealth of Independent States countries have been identified using the classical gravity model based on assessing the internal regional product and the distance among the regions. The prospects of foreign trade relations with Belarus and the Republic of Uzbekistan have been assessed. Based on J. Tinbergen’s gravity model models of interaction among the regions have been built and forecast values of export volumes for the short term calculated. It was revealed that the Republic of Azerbaijan can become a potential partner for the Republic of Tatarstan. The analysis of the forecast data on the domestic regional product of the Republic of Tatarstan and the gross domestic product of Azerbaijan in 2023 suggests that the exports volume between these entities is expectedly high.
format Article
id doaj-art-0e8babc456ac4ee5961176d4ee89a2ce
institution Kabale University
issn 1816-4277
2686-8415
language English
publishDate 2024-06-01
publisher Publishing House of the State University of Management
record_format Article
series Вестник университета
spelling doaj-art-0e8babc456ac4ee5961176d4ee89a2ce2025-02-04T08:28:20ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152024-06-010418719510.26425/1816-4277-2024-4-187-1953086Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian FederationYu. A. Shakirova0A. A. Gataullina1N. I. Shamsutdinova2Kazan Federal UniversityKazan Federal UniversityKazan Federal UniversityIn the conditions of instability of the Russian economy, Russian regions have faced the problem of finding new directions of foreign economic development. Mathematical modeling methods, considering the distance between partner regions and their economies volumes, can be effective tools for solving the problem. The article touches upon the modeling foreign trade relations issues in the Republic of Tatarstan on the gravity models’ basis. The purpose of the study is to identify potential trade partners and assess the prospects for the export relations development in the Republic of Tatarstan. The structure, dynamics, and main directions of exports of the constituent entity have been analyzed. Potential trade partners of the Republic of Tatarstan among the Commonwealth of Independent States countries have been identified using the classical gravity model based on assessing the internal regional product and the distance among the regions. The prospects of foreign trade relations with Belarus and the Republic of Uzbekistan have been assessed. Based on J. Tinbergen’s gravity model models of interaction among the regions have been built and forecast values of export volumes for the short term calculated. It was revealed that the Republic of Azerbaijan can become a potential partner for the Republic of Tatarstan. The analysis of the forecast data on the domestic regional product of the Republic of Tatarstan and the gross domestic product of Azerbaijan in 2023 suggests that the exports volume between these entities is expectedly high.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5234exportforeign tradeforeign economic relationsgravity modelrepublic of tatarstancis
spellingShingle Yu. A. Shakirova
A. A. Gataullina
N. I. Shamsutdinova
Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
Вестник университета
export
foreign trade
foreign economic relations
gravity model
republic of tatarstan
cis
title Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
title_full Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
title_fullStr Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
title_short Mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the Republic of Tatarstan of the Russian Federation
title_sort mathematical modeling methods in assessing the prospects of export development in the republic of tatarstan of the russian federation
topic export
foreign trade
foreign economic relations
gravity model
republic of tatarstan
cis
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5234
work_keys_str_mv AT yuashakirova mathematicalmodelingmethodsinassessingtheprospectsofexportdevelopmentintherepublicoftatarstanoftherussianfederation
AT aagataullina mathematicalmodelingmethodsinassessingtheprospectsofexportdevelopmentintherepublicoftatarstanoftherussianfederation
AT nishamsutdinova mathematicalmodelingmethodsinassessingtheprospectsofexportdevelopmentintherepublicoftatarstanoftherussianfederation