Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation

Background In addition to surgical technology, successful liver transplantation (LT) depends on perioperative management, which needs an effective prognostic index. Therefore, a simplified and sensitive postoperative index for adult LT should be developed.Methods In total, 906 patients who underwent...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shuai Wang, Xiaohong Lin, Yefu Li, Zhonghao Xie, Ming Zhang, Yicheng Liang, Chuchen Zhu, Yuqi Dong, Ping Zeng, Xiaoshun He, Weiqiang Ju, Maogen Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Annals of Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2458212
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832540646237274112
author Shuai Wang
Xiaohong Lin
Yefu Li
Zhonghao Xie
Ming Zhang
Yicheng Liang
Chuchen Zhu
Yuqi Dong
Ping Zeng
Xiaoshun He
Weiqiang Ju
Maogen Chen
author_facet Shuai Wang
Xiaohong Lin
Yefu Li
Zhonghao Xie
Ming Zhang
Yicheng Liang
Chuchen Zhu
Yuqi Dong
Ping Zeng
Xiaoshun He
Weiqiang Ju
Maogen Chen
author_sort Shuai Wang
collection DOAJ
description Background In addition to surgical technology, successful liver transplantation (LT) depends on perioperative management, which needs an effective prognostic index. Therefore, a simplified and sensitive postoperative index for adult LT should be developed.Methods In total, 906 patients who underwent LT were included in this cross-sectional study. Univariate analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for recipient survival. Multivariate logistic and stepwise regression analyses were used to construct and simplify the model design. Area under the curve (AUC) and Kaplan–Meier’s (K–M) analysis demonstrated superiority of the new index. The postoperative survival score (POSS) index was further simplified via restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. Finally, the interpretation of the long-term mortality and subgroup analyses extended the application of the POSS index.Results Finally, a total of five factors (donor sex, recipient body mass index (BMI), total bilirubin (Tbil), international normalized ratio (INR) and total operative time) were identified as independent risk parameters and included in our POSS index. The AUCs of the original and simplified POSS indices were 0.764 and 0.723, respectively. Patients with high scores had poor short-term survival. Our index also functioned well in predicting long-term mortality, and it was more effective for patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Conclusions We constructed a simplified and effective postoperative survival scoring index to predict short-term complications and survival in adult LT patients.
format Article
id doaj-art-0e7f2247ce9348e1914724989f4dd8be
institution Kabale University
issn 0785-3890
1365-2060
language English
publishDate 2025-12-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
record_format Article
series Annals of Medicine
spelling doaj-art-0e7f2247ce9348e1914724989f4dd8be2025-02-04T16:35:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAnnals of Medicine0785-38901365-20602025-12-0157110.1080/07853890.2025.2458212Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantationShuai Wang0Xiaohong Lin1Yefu Li2Zhonghao Xie3Ming Zhang4Yicheng Liang5Chuchen Zhu6Yuqi Dong7Ping Zeng8Xiaoshun He9Weiqiang Ju10Maogen Chen11Organ Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Eastern Hospital of the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaOrgan Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, PR ChinaBackground In addition to surgical technology, successful liver transplantation (LT) depends on perioperative management, which needs an effective prognostic index. Therefore, a simplified and sensitive postoperative index for adult LT should be developed.Methods In total, 906 patients who underwent LT were included in this cross-sectional study. Univariate analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for recipient survival. Multivariate logistic and stepwise regression analyses were used to construct and simplify the model design. Area under the curve (AUC) and Kaplan–Meier’s (K–M) analysis demonstrated superiority of the new index. The postoperative survival score (POSS) index was further simplified via restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. Finally, the interpretation of the long-term mortality and subgroup analyses extended the application of the POSS index.Results Finally, a total of five factors (donor sex, recipient body mass index (BMI), total bilirubin (Tbil), international normalized ratio (INR) and total operative time) were identified as independent risk parameters and included in our POSS index. The AUCs of the original and simplified POSS indices were 0.764 and 0.723, respectively. Patients with high scores had poor short-term survival. Our index also functioned well in predicting long-term mortality, and it was more effective for patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Conclusions We constructed a simplified and effective postoperative survival scoring index to predict short-term complications and survival in adult LT patients.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2458212Liver transplantationshort-term survivalmalignant liver diseaseMELD score
spellingShingle Shuai Wang
Xiaohong Lin
Yefu Li
Zhonghao Xie
Ming Zhang
Yicheng Liang
Chuchen Zhu
Yuqi Dong
Ping Zeng
Xiaoshun He
Weiqiang Ju
Maogen Chen
Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
Annals of Medicine
Liver transplantation
short-term survival
malignant liver disease
MELD score
title Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
title_full Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
title_fullStr Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
title_full_unstemmed Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
title_short Identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
title_sort identification of a postoperative survival scoring index for adult liver transplantation
topic Liver transplantation
short-term survival
malignant liver disease
MELD score
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/07853890.2025.2458212
work_keys_str_mv AT shuaiwang identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT xiaohonglin identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT yefuli identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT zhonghaoxie identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT mingzhang identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT yichengliang identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT chuchenzhu identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT yuqidong identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT pingzeng identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT xiaoshunhe identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT weiqiangju identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation
AT maogenchen identificationofapostoperativesurvivalscoringindexforadultlivertransplantation