Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China

This article effectively identifies the high and low volatility state of asset prices in China by constructing the MS-AR model, and further investigates the relationship between different dimensions of liquidity and asset price volatility. Moreover, we try to incorporate liquidity into the analytica...

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Main Authors: Qing Zhu, Shuyu Bai, Jia Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4710234
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author Qing Zhu
Shuyu Bai
Jia Wang
author_facet Qing Zhu
Shuyu Bai
Jia Wang
author_sort Qing Zhu
collection DOAJ
description This article effectively identifies the high and low volatility state of asset prices in China by constructing the MS-AR model, and further investigates the relationship between different dimensions of liquidity and asset price volatility. Moreover, we try to incorporate liquidity into the analytical framework and adopt the TVP-SV-VAR model to study the time-varying characteristics between monetary policy, liquidity, asset price volatility and macroeconomy. The results are as follows: firstly, it shows that the high or low volatility state of China’s stock market and real estate market can be clearly divided, and display the consistency with the trend of asset price volatility. Secondly, liquidity has a strong ability to explain the high and low volatility state of asset prices, but it shows some hysteresis effects. Thirdly, the time-varying results reveal that monetary policy has a regulating effect on liquidity, and the response cycle of quantitative monetary policy is relatively short, which reflects the effects of macroeconomy precisely. However, price-based monetary policy has a longer response cycle and plays a vital role in the anticipatory adjustment and fine-tuning of asset price volatility. These conclusions can provide an explanation for the attention to asset price bubbles and potential financial risks, and offer decision-making references for the central bank to implement differentiated and dynamic monetary policy choices.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1099-0526
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spelling doaj-art-0e137d46ba984e6da2cbf9610448b18a2025-02-03T05:53:35ZengWileyComplexity1099-05262022-01-01202210.1155/2022/4710234Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from ChinaQing Zhu0Shuyu Bai1Jia Wang2School of StatisticsSchool of Economics and ManagementDepartment of General AffairsThis article effectively identifies the high and low volatility state of asset prices in China by constructing the MS-AR model, and further investigates the relationship between different dimensions of liquidity and asset price volatility. Moreover, we try to incorporate liquidity into the analytical framework and adopt the TVP-SV-VAR model to study the time-varying characteristics between monetary policy, liquidity, asset price volatility and macroeconomy. The results are as follows: firstly, it shows that the high or low volatility state of China’s stock market and real estate market can be clearly divided, and display the consistency with the trend of asset price volatility. Secondly, liquidity has a strong ability to explain the high and low volatility state of asset prices, but it shows some hysteresis effects. Thirdly, the time-varying results reveal that monetary policy has a regulating effect on liquidity, and the response cycle of quantitative monetary policy is relatively short, which reflects the effects of macroeconomy precisely. However, price-based monetary policy has a longer response cycle and plays a vital role in the anticipatory adjustment and fine-tuning of asset price volatility. These conclusions can provide an explanation for the attention to asset price bubbles and potential financial risks, and offer decision-making references for the central bank to implement differentiated and dynamic monetary policy choices.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4710234
spellingShingle Qing Zhu
Shuyu Bai
Jia Wang
Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
Complexity
title Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
title_full Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
title_fullStr Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
title_full_unstemmed Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
title_short Liquidity, Asset Price Volatility, and Monetary Policy Choices: Empirical Evidence from China
title_sort liquidity asset price volatility and monetary policy choices empirical evidence from china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4710234
work_keys_str_mv AT qingzhu liquidityassetpricevolatilityandmonetarypolicychoicesempiricalevidencefromchina
AT shuyubai liquidityassetpricevolatilityandmonetarypolicychoicesempiricalevidencefromchina
AT jiawang liquidityassetpricevolatilityandmonetarypolicychoicesempiricalevidencefromchina