Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China
This paper investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on travel modes choice behaviour using a case study from Wuhan, China. A SP-experiment based survey was conducted in Wuhan, based on which an MNL model and a latent class MNL model were established, respectively. The model estimation result...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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University of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences
2025-02-01
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| Series: | Promet (Zagreb) |
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| Online Access: | https://traffic2.fpz.hr/index.php/PROMTT/article/view/736 |
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| _version_ | 1832086482318262272 |
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| author | Xin DOU Xiaofeng PAN Tao FENG |
| author_facet | Xin DOU Xiaofeng PAN Tao FENG |
| author_sort | Xin DOU |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on travel modes choice behaviour using a case study from Wuhan, China. A SP-experiment based survey was conducted in Wuhan, based on which an MNL model and a latent class MNL model were established, respectively. The model estimation results show the following conclusions. First, the attributes that are normally believed to significantly affect the residents’ travel mode choice behaviour turned out to be insignificant during the COVID-19 pandemic. Second, attributes such as age, gender, driving license, income trend, use frequency of public transit, currently most-frequent-used mode, household size, monthly household income, distance from metro station to home, number of confirmed/deaths cases, vaccination are significantly affecting the respondents’ travel preferences. Third, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic leads to a decline in the residents’ preferences toward public transit, but the promotion of vaccines can lead residents to return to the public transit system. Fourth, the respondents were divided into three latent classes: high-susceptible, medium-susceptible and low-susceptible classes. These conclusions are believed to provide a reference for the investigation of impact of the COVID-19 pandemic or other similar public health events on the transportation system, and also offer supports for policy-making to effectively deal with such pandemics. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-0b74bcc790eb48f58e701ff4bf9f36fb |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 0353-5320 1848-4069 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-02-01 |
| publisher | University of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Promet (Zagreb) |
| spelling | doaj-art-0b74bcc790eb48f58e701ff4bf9f36fb2025-02-06T12:36:20ZengUniversity of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic SciencesPromet (Zagreb)0353-53201848-40692025-02-0137123324710.7307/ptt.v37i1.736736Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, ChinaXin DOU0Xiaofeng PAN1Tao FENG2Hiroshima University, Graduate School of Advanced Science and EngineeringWuhan University of Technology, Intelligent Transportation Systems Research Centre; Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China, Engineering Research Centre of Transportation Information and SafetyHiroshima University, Graduate School of Advanced Science and EngineeringThis paper investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on travel modes choice behaviour using a case study from Wuhan, China. A SP-experiment based survey was conducted in Wuhan, based on which an MNL model and a latent class MNL model were established, respectively. The model estimation results show the following conclusions. First, the attributes that are normally believed to significantly affect the residents’ travel mode choice behaviour turned out to be insignificant during the COVID-19 pandemic. Second, attributes such as age, gender, driving license, income trend, use frequency of public transit, currently most-frequent-used mode, household size, monthly household income, distance from metro station to home, number of confirmed/deaths cases, vaccination are significantly affecting the respondents’ travel preferences. Third, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic leads to a decline in the residents’ preferences toward public transit, but the promotion of vaccines can lead residents to return to the public transit system. Fourth, the respondents were divided into three latent classes: high-susceptible, medium-susceptible and low-susceptible classes. These conclusions are believed to provide a reference for the investigation of impact of the COVID-19 pandemic or other similar public health events on the transportation system, and also offer supports for policy-making to effectively deal with such pandemics.https://traffic2.fpz.hr/index.php/PROMTT/article/view/736travel mode choicecovid-19 pandemicmnl modellatent classwuhan city |
| spellingShingle | Xin DOU Xiaofeng PAN Tao FENG Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China Promet (Zagreb) travel mode choice covid-19 pandemic mnl model latent class wuhan city |
| title | Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China |
| title_full | Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China |
| title_fullStr | Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China |
| title_short | Investigating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Travel Mode Choice Behaviour – A Stated Preference Case in Wuhan, China |
| title_sort | investigating the impact of the covid 19 pandemic on travel mode choice behaviour a stated preference case in wuhan china |
| topic | travel mode choice covid-19 pandemic mnl model latent class wuhan city |
| url | https://traffic2.fpz.hr/index.php/PROMTT/article/view/736 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT xindou investigatingtheimpactofthecovid19pandemicontravelmodechoicebehaviourastatedpreferencecaseinwuhanchina AT xiaofengpan investigatingtheimpactofthecovid19pandemicontravelmodechoicebehaviourastatedpreferencecaseinwuhanchina AT taofeng investigatingtheimpactofthecovid19pandemicontravelmodechoicebehaviourastatedpreferencecaseinwuhanchina |