HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Publishing House of the State University of Management
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Вестник университета |
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| Online Access: | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/996 |
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| _version_ | 1832541939637944320 |
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| author | A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov |
| author_facet | A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov |
| author_sort | A. Zamkovoy |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of freight rail traffic volume and expert assessments of external factors affecting the work of rail transport hasbeen proposed. The structure of historical data, time series of freight traffic volumes, as well as relationship with expert models is described. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1816-4277 2686-8415 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2018-04-01 |
| publisher | Publishing House of the State University of Management |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник университета |
| spelling | doaj-art-0b573c1680de43d69de091180bea049e2025-02-04T08:27:55ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152018-04-0104516010.26425/1816-4277-2018-4-51-60996HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATIONA. Zamkovoy0S. Kudiyarov1R. Martyshkin2V. Strizhov3Institute of Economics and transport developmentInstitute of Economics and transport developmentInstitute of Economics and transport developmentDorodnicyn Computing Centre, Federal Research Center «Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of SciencesThe problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of freight rail traffic volume and expert assessments of external factors affecting the work of rail transport hasbeen proposed. The structure of historical data, time series of freight traffic volumes, as well as relationship with expert models is described.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/996rail freightforecastexpert modelstime seriesexogenous factorsmanagement |
| spellingShingle | A. Zamkovoy S. Kudiyarov R. Martyshkin V. Strizhov HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION Вестник университета rail freight forecast expert models time series exogenous factors management |
| title | HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION |
| title_full | HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION |
| title_fullStr | HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION |
| title_full_unstemmed | HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION |
| title_short | HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION |
| title_sort | harmonization of historical data and expert models for forecasting demand for rail transportation |
| topic | rail freight forecast expert models time series exogenous factors management |
| url | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/996 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT azamkovoy harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT skudiyarov harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT rmartyshkin harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation AT vstrizhov harmonizationofhistoricaldataandexpertmodelsforforecastingdemandforrailtransportation |