HARMONIZATION OF HISTORICAL DATA AND EXPERT MODELS FOR FORECASTING DEMAND FOR RAIL TRANSPORTATION
The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of...
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Publishing House of the State University of Management
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Вестник университета |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/996 |
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| Summary: | The problem of rail freight traffic volume forecasts using retrospective data, analysis of the impact of external factors on the cargo base and the distribution of goods shipments by transport mode is solved. In order to improve the forecast fidelity proposed the model integrating historical data of freight rail traffic volume and expert assessments of external factors affecting the work of rail transport hasbeen proposed. The structure of historical data, time series of freight traffic volumes, as well as relationship with expert models is described. |
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| ISSN: | 1816-4277 2686-8415 |