Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy

Objective To investigate the association between contraceptive effectiveness of Natural Cycles and users’ previous choice of contraceptive, and to evaluate the impact of shifting from other methods to Natural Cycles on the risk of unintended pregnancy.Setting Natural Cycles mobile application.Partic...

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Main Authors: Simon Rowland, Raoul Scherwitzl, Kristina Gemzell-Danielsson, Jonathan Bull, Olof Lundberg, Elina Berglund-Scherwitzl, James Trussell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2019-03-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/3/e026474.full
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author Simon Rowland
Raoul Scherwitzl
Kristina Gemzell-Danielsson
Jonathan Bull
Olof Lundberg
Elina Berglund-Scherwitzl
James Trussell
author_facet Simon Rowland
Raoul Scherwitzl
Kristina Gemzell-Danielsson
Jonathan Bull
Olof Lundberg
Elina Berglund-Scherwitzl
James Trussell
author_sort Simon Rowland
collection DOAJ
description Objective To investigate the association between contraceptive effectiveness of Natural Cycles and users’ previous choice of contraceptive, and to evaluate the impact of shifting from other methods to Natural Cycles on the risk of unintended pregnancy.Setting Natural Cycles mobile application.Participants 16 331 Natural Cycles users in Sweden for the prevention of pregnancy.Outcome measures Risk of unintended pregnancy.Study design Real world evidence was collected from Natural Cycles users regarding contraceptive use prior to using Natural Cycles and sexual activity while using Natural Cycles. We calculated the typical use 1-year Pearl Index (PI) and 13-cycle failure rate of Natural Cycles for each cohort. The PI was compared with the population PI of their stated previous methods.Results For women who had used condoms before, the PI of Natural Cycles was the lowest at 3.5±0.5. For women who had used the pill before, the PI of Natural Cycles was the highest at 8.1±0.6. The frequency of unprotected sex on fertile days partially explained some of the observed variation in PI between cohorts. 89% of users switched to Natural Cycles from methods with higher or similar reported PIs.Conclusion The effectiveness of Natural Cycles is influenced by previous contraceptive choice and this should be considered when evaluating the suitability of the method for the individual. We estimate that Natural Cycles usage can reduce the overall likelihood of having an unintended pregnancy by shifting usage from less effective methods.
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spelling doaj-art-095a324a0b27478da90484d8a60635482025-02-01T23:25:11ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552019-03-019310.1136/bmjopen-2018-026474Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancySimon Rowland0Raoul Scherwitzl1Kristina Gemzell-Danielsson2Jonathan Bull3Olof Lundberg4Elina Berglund-Scherwitzl5James Trussell61 Department of Medical Communications, Natural Cycles Nordic AB, Stockholm, Sweden1 Department of Medical Communications, Natural Cycles Nordic AB, Stockholm, SwedenWomen`s and Children`s Health, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden1 Department of Medical Communications, Natural Cycles Nordic AB, Stockholm, Sweden1 Department of Medical Communications, Natural Cycles Nordic AB, Stockholm, Sweden1 Department of Medical Communications, Natural Cycles Nordic AB, Stockholm, SwedenOffice of Population Research, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USAObjective To investigate the association between contraceptive effectiveness of Natural Cycles and users’ previous choice of contraceptive, and to evaluate the impact of shifting from other methods to Natural Cycles on the risk of unintended pregnancy.Setting Natural Cycles mobile application.Participants 16 331 Natural Cycles users in Sweden for the prevention of pregnancy.Outcome measures Risk of unintended pregnancy.Study design Real world evidence was collected from Natural Cycles users regarding contraceptive use prior to using Natural Cycles and sexual activity while using Natural Cycles. We calculated the typical use 1-year Pearl Index (PI) and 13-cycle failure rate of Natural Cycles for each cohort. The PI was compared with the population PI of their stated previous methods.Results For women who had used condoms before, the PI of Natural Cycles was the lowest at 3.5±0.5. For women who had used the pill before, the PI of Natural Cycles was the highest at 8.1±0.6. The frequency of unprotected sex on fertile days partially explained some of the observed variation in PI between cohorts. 89% of users switched to Natural Cycles from methods with higher or similar reported PIs.Conclusion The effectiveness of Natural Cycles is influenced by previous contraceptive choice and this should be considered when evaluating the suitability of the method for the individual. We estimate that Natural Cycles usage can reduce the overall likelihood of having an unintended pregnancy by shifting usage from less effective methods.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/3/e026474.full
spellingShingle Simon Rowland
Raoul Scherwitzl
Kristina Gemzell-Danielsson
Jonathan Bull
Olof Lundberg
Elina Berglund-Scherwitzl
James Trussell
Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
BMJ Open
title Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
title_full Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
title_fullStr Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
title_full_unstemmed Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
title_short Typical use effectiveness of Natural Cycles: postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
title_sort typical use effectiveness of natural cycles postmarket surveillance study investigating the impact of previous contraceptive choice on the risk of unintended pregnancy
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/9/3/e026474.full
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