Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application

Coal mine roof accident is one of the most important geological disasters faced by coal mine, and roof displacement is an important index to measure the effect of roadway control and construction safety. Therefore, this study puts forward the machine learning method to study the advance prediction o...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hongxia Li, Rong Wu, Jianan Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Advances in Civil Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/adce/1832390
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832592904717074432
author Hongxia Li
Rong Wu
Jianan Gao
author_facet Hongxia Li
Rong Wu
Jianan Gao
author_sort Hongxia Li
collection DOAJ
description Coal mine roof accident is one of the most important geological disasters faced by coal mine, and roof displacement is an important index to measure the effect of roadway control and construction safety. Therefore, this study puts forward the machine learning method to study the advance prediction of coal roadway roof displacement. By identifying six important influencing indexes of coal roadway roof displacement, the prediction dataset of coal roadway roof displacement is established and the correlation and importance of the indexes are analyzed. Based on Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) algorithms, three kinds of roof displacement prediction models are established respectively. R2, mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE) are selected to evaluate the performance of the models. The results show that the RF model has the best performance while the XGBoost model has the worst performance. When RF model is applied to coal mine roadway, the average R2 is 0.92, and the relative error of prediction is 1.76%–9.11%, which indicates that RF model has greater accuracy and applicability in advance prediction of coal roadway roof displacement. It can be used to predict the roof accidents of coal mines to ensure the safety and stability of the roadway enclosure rock during the construction period. The study will be helpful in planning of mining, improving the recovery rate of resources, and promoting the intelligent development of coal mine.
format Article
id doaj-art-08741c4a0a8d4e5a9928b9ba0c5e6513
institution Kabale University
issn 1687-8094
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Advances in Civil Engineering
spelling doaj-art-08741c4a0a8d4e5a9928b9ba0c5e65132025-01-21T00:00:02ZengWileyAdvances in Civil Engineering1687-80942025-01-01202510.1155/adce/1832390Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and ApplicationHongxia Li0Rong Wu1Jianan Gao2College of Safety Science and EngineeringCollege of Safety Science and EngineeringCollege of Safety Science and EngineeringCoal mine roof accident is one of the most important geological disasters faced by coal mine, and roof displacement is an important index to measure the effect of roadway control and construction safety. Therefore, this study puts forward the machine learning method to study the advance prediction of coal roadway roof displacement. By identifying six important influencing indexes of coal roadway roof displacement, the prediction dataset of coal roadway roof displacement is established and the correlation and importance of the indexes are analyzed. Based on Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) algorithms, three kinds of roof displacement prediction models are established respectively. R2, mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE) are selected to evaluate the performance of the models. The results show that the RF model has the best performance while the XGBoost model has the worst performance. When RF model is applied to coal mine roadway, the average R2 is 0.92, and the relative error of prediction is 1.76%–9.11%, which indicates that RF model has greater accuracy and applicability in advance prediction of coal roadway roof displacement. It can be used to predict the roof accidents of coal mines to ensure the safety and stability of the roadway enclosure rock during the construction period. The study will be helpful in planning of mining, improving the recovery rate of resources, and promoting the intelligent development of coal mine.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/adce/1832390
spellingShingle Hongxia Li
Rong Wu
Jianan Gao
Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
Advances in Civil Engineering
title Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
title_full Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
title_fullStr Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
title_full_unstemmed Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
title_short Random Forest–Based Coal Mine Roof Displacement Prediction and Application
title_sort random forest based coal mine roof displacement prediction and application
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/adce/1832390
work_keys_str_mv AT hongxiali randomforestbasedcoalmineroofdisplacementpredictionandapplication
AT rongwu randomforestbasedcoalmineroofdisplacementpredictionandapplication
AT jianangao randomforestbasedcoalmineroofdisplacementpredictionandapplication