Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency

Populists emerge when distrust of state institutions or dissatisfaction with democracy convince voters that claims about conspiring elites blocking the general will are valid. We propose that these dynamics change when populists are incumbents; once they command institutions, their sustained support...

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Main Authors: Nina Wiesehomeier, Saskia Ruth-Lovell, Matthew Singer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press
Series:Latin American Research Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S154242782500001X/type/journal_article
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author Nina Wiesehomeier
Saskia Ruth-Lovell
Matthew Singer
author_facet Nina Wiesehomeier
Saskia Ruth-Lovell
Matthew Singer
author_sort Nina Wiesehomeier
collection DOAJ
description Populists emerge when distrust of state institutions or dissatisfaction with democracy convince voters that claims about conspiring elites blocking the general will are valid. We propose that these dynamics change when populists are incumbents; once they command institutions, their sustained support becomes contingent upon trust in the new institutional order, and they are held accountable for making people think democracy is working well. Newly collected data on party populism and survey data from Latin America show that support for populist parties in the region is conditioned by satisfaction with democracy as well as the incumbency status of populists. Dissatisfied voters support populist opposition parties, but support for populist incumbents is higher among those satisfied with democracy and its institutions. While democratic deficits and poor governance provide openings for populists, populists are held accountable for institutional outcomes.
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series Latin American Research Review
spelling doaj-art-068f38e4b20f4982a650a3cab4a54bb32025-02-03T05:57:03ZengCambridge University PressLatin American Research Review1542-427812010.1017/lar.2025.1Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and IncumbencyNina Wiesehomeier0Saskia Ruth-Lovell1Matthew Singer2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7048-9003IE University, Madrid, SpainRadboud University, Nijmegen, Gelderland, NetherlandsUniversity of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, USPopulists emerge when distrust of state institutions or dissatisfaction with democracy convince voters that claims about conspiring elites blocking the general will are valid. We propose that these dynamics change when populists are incumbents; once they command institutions, their sustained support becomes contingent upon trust in the new institutional order, and they are held accountable for making people think democracy is working well. Newly collected data on party populism and survey data from Latin America show that support for populist parties in the region is conditioned by satisfaction with democracy as well as the incumbency status of populists. Dissatisfied voters support populist opposition parties, but support for populist incumbents is higher among those satisfied with democracy and its institutions. While democratic deficits and poor governance provide openings for populists, populists are held accountable for institutional outcomes.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S154242782500001X/type/journal_articlepopulismincumbencydemocratic satisfactionaccountabilitypopulismoincumbenciasatisfacción democráticarendición de cuentas
spellingShingle Nina Wiesehomeier
Saskia Ruth-Lovell
Matthew Singer
Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
Latin American Research Review
populism
incumbency
democratic satisfaction
accountability
populismo
incumbencia
satisfacción democrática
rendición de cuentas
title Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
title_full Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
title_fullStr Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
title_full_unstemmed Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
title_short Conditional Populist Party Support: The Role of Dissatisfaction and Incumbency
title_sort conditional populist party support the role of dissatisfaction and incumbency
topic populism
incumbency
democratic satisfaction
accountability
populismo
incumbencia
satisfacción democrática
rendición de cuentas
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S154242782500001X/type/journal_article
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