Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS
As an inevitable consequence of population growth, human beings occupying more space on the earth's surface are more likely to encounter and be damaged by natural events. In order to minimize these damages, planning is required. Risk modelling studies are an important parameter in planning. Mod...
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Artvin Coruh University
2024-07-01
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| Series: | Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi |
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| Online Access: | https://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/3525290 |
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| author | Mahsum Bozdoğan Ergin Canpolat |
| author_facet | Mahsum Bozdoğan Ergin Canpolat |
| author_sort | Mahsum Bozdoğan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | As an inevitable consequence of population growth, human beings occupying more space on the earth's surface are more likely to encounter and be damaged by natural events. In order to minimize these damages, planning is required. Risk modelling studies are an important parameter in planning. Models can be made with higher accuracy with the help of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) technologies, which have been used intensively in multidisciplinary fields in recent years. In this study, the flood risk potential of the Delibekirli Stream Basin, which is located in the central part of the Amanos Mountains and has flood records in 2014 and 2015, was revealed by statistical and deterministic methods. Using various statistical parameters and distribution functions, the unit hydrograph peak flow and 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, 100, 500 and 1000-year flood recurrence flows of the basin were calculated. Using these values, a 1D hydraulic model was created in steady flow conditions using the River Analysis System (HEC-RAS v.6.1) software developed by the US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE-HEC). In the city of Kırıkhan, which was built on the accumulation fan formed by the Delibekirli Stream, the channel cross-sections were narrowed due to the construction and various interventions were made to the river bed. As a result of the studies and evaluations carried out, it was concluded that in order to prevent the floods that may occur due to the Delibekirli Stream in Kırıkhan from causing loss of life and property, it was concluded that the works for the river channel should be designed based on at least 500-year flood flow (124,36 m3/s). |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-05c7c4f8777544a68b5bfff2e5bc917c |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2528-9640 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-07-01 |
| publisher | Artvin Coruh University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj-art-05c7c4f8777544a68b5bfff2e5bc917c2025-02-03T00:28:08ZengArtvin Coruh UniversityDoğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi2528-96402024-07-0110247850310.21324/dacd.1387971Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RASMahsum Bozdoğan0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6624-4188Ergin Canpolat1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2123-3551İstanbul Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Coğrafya Doktora Programı, 34134, İstanbul.Hatay Mustafa Kemal Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Coğrafya Bölümü, 31060, Hatay.As an inevitable consequence of population growth, human beings occupying more space on the earth's surface are more likely to encounter and be damaged by natural events. In order to minimize these damages, planning is required. Risk modelling studies are an important parameter in planning. Models can be made with higher accuracy with the help of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) technologies, which have been used intensively in multidisciplinary fields in recent years. In this study, the flood risk potential of the Delibekirli Stream Basin, which is located in the central part of the Amanos Mountains and has flood records in 2014 and 2015, was revealed by statistical and deterministic methods. Using various statistical parameters and distribution functions, the unit hydrograph peak flow and 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, 100, 500 and 1000-year flood recurrence flows of the basin were calculated. Using these values, a 1D hydraulic model was created in steady flow conditions using the River Analysis System (HEC-RAS v.6.1) software developed by the US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE-HEC). In the city of Kırıkhan, which was built on the accumulation fan formed by the Delibekirli Stream, the channel cross-sections were narrowed due to the construction and various interventions were made to the river bed. As a result of the studies and evaluations carried out, it was concluded that in order to prevent the floods that may occur due to the Delibekirli Stream in Kırıkhan from causing loss of life and property, it was concluded that the works for the river channel should be designed based on at least 500-year flood flow (124,36 m3/s).https://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/3525290hataykırıkhandelibekirli basinflood riskfloodhec-ras |
| spellingShingle | Mahsum Bozdoğan Ergin Canpolat Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi hatay kırıkhan delibekirli basin flood risk flood hec-ras |
| title | Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS |
| title_full | Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS |
| title_fullStr | Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS |
| title_full_unstemmed | Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS |
| title_short | Calculation of Flood Recurrence of Delibekirli Basin (Kırıkhan/Hatay) using Statistical and Deterministic Methods and Modeling with HEC-RAS |
| title_sort | calculation of flood recurrence of delibekirli basin kirikhan hatay using statistical and deterministic methods and modeling with hec ras |
| topic | hatay kırıkhan delibekirli basin flood risk flood hec-ras |
| url | https://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/3525290 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mahsumbozdogan calculationoffloodrecurrenceofdelibekirlibasinkırıkhanhatayusingstatisticalanddeterministicmethodsandmodelingwithhecras AT ergincanpolat calculationoffloodrecurrenceofdelibekirlibasinkırıkhanhatayusingstatisticalanddeterministicmethodsandmodelingwithhecras |