Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases

Distinguishing the predictable 10–30-day stable components (STs) in the actual atmosphere has been important in atmospheric science research. In this study, a new method for extracting 10–30-day STs was developed with the use of historical observations. We extracted and analyzed 10–30-day STs via st...

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Main Authors: Kuo Wang, Guolin Feng, Yuxing Zeng, Zhengquan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/919286
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author Kuo Wang
Guolin Feng
Yuxing Zeng
Zhengquan Li
author_facet Kuo Wang
Guolin Feng
Yuxing Zeng
Zhengquan Li
author_sort Kuo Wang
collection DOAJ
description Distinguishing the predictable 10–30-day stable components (STs) in the actual atmosphere has been important in atmospheric science research. In this study, a new method for extracting 10–30-day STs was developed with the use of historical observations. We extracted and analyzed 10–30-day STs via statistical extrapolation tests. The results show that the STs are maintained uniformly at the intraseasonal time scale; the overall trends in the atmospheric motion are revealed. Comparisons between pentad-by-pentad changes in the explained variances of the 10–30-day STs under ENSO phases show that the explained variance transmission attenuation trends for El Niño and La Niña years are weaker and more continuous than those of neutral years. Data for 10–30-day STs can remain continuous and stable from one month to the next. The proposed method and results present a new means of extracting predictable STs from the atmosphere using historical data.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-0599f4cae7e843e685c4f8253d502ad32025-02-03T01:25:52ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2015-01-01201510.1155/2015/919286919286Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO PhasesKuo Wang0Guolin Feng1Yuxing Zeng2Zhengquan Li3Zhejiang Climate Center, Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau, Hangzhou 310017, ChinaLaboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaZhejiang Climate Center, Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau, Hangzhou 310017, ChinaDistinguishing the predictable 10–30-day stable components (STs) in the actual atmosphere has been important in atmospheric science research. In this study, a new method for extracting 10–30-day STs was developed with the use of historical observations. We extracted and analyzed 10–30-day STs via statistical extrapolation tests. The results show that the STs are maintained uniformly at the intraseasonal time scale; the overall trends in the atmospheric motion are revealed. Comparisons between pentad-by-pentad changes in the explained variances of the 10–30-day STs under ENSO phases show that the explained variance transmission attenuation trends for El Niño and La Niña years are weaker and more continuous than those of neutral years. Data for 10–30-day STs can remain continuous and stable from one month to the next. The proposed method and results present a new means of extracting predictable STs from the atmosphere using historical data.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/919286
spellingShingle Kuo Wang
Guolin Feng
Yuxing Zeng
Zhengquan Li
Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
title_full Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
title_fullStr Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
title_full_unstemmed Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
title_short Extraction of 10–30-Day Stable Components from a Boreal Atmosphere during ENSO Phases
title_sort extraction of 10 30 day stable components from a boreal atmosphere during enso phases
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/919286
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AT guolinfeng extractionof1030daystablecomponentsfromaborealatmosphereduringensophases
AT yuxingzeng extractionof1030daystablecomponentsfromaborealatmosphereduringensophases
AT zhengquanli extractionof1030daystablecomponentsfromaborealatmosphereduringensophases