Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business

In the maintenance service business, introducing IoT solutions is an expected strategy to improve the maintenance efficiency. However, it is difficult to predict in advance the quantitative effects of IoT solutions on the overall business. This study proposes the simulation approach to quantitativel...

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Main Authors: Junya WATANABE, Toshiaki KONO
Format: Article
Language:Japanese
Published: The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers 2024-12-01
Series:Nihon Kikai Gakkai ronbunshu
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/transjsme/91/941/91_24-00143/_pdf/-char/en
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author Junya WATANABE
Toshiaki KONO
author_facet Junya WATANABE
Toshiaki KONO
author_sort Junya WATANABE
collection DOAJ
description In the maintenance service business, introducing IoT solutions is an expected strategy to improve the maintenance efficiency. However, it is difficult to predict in advance the quantitative effects of IoT solutions on the overall business. This study proposes the simulation approach to quantitatively evaluate the improvement effect of IoT solutions using the multi agent modeling for maintenance business. This model includes the behavior of maintenance workers and is characterized by evaluating the resource workload. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is verified in the case study of a dispatch-type maintenance service for wind turbines. The availabilities of wind turbines are compared in two prognosis solution introduction stories with six cases. The change trends in availability by introducing prognosis solutions can be explained by both the reduction in asset failures and the resource status of maintenance workers. In the simulation result, the introduction of anomaly prediction without changing the current maintenance policy resulted in an increase in workload and rather worsened availability, which indicates that the proposed method can assess the risk of reduced availability. Also, the availability improved significantly when combined with a change in maintenance policy, such as omitting periodic inspections. These results indicate that the proposed method can evaluate the synergistic effects of prognosis solutions and maintenance policy changes.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2187-9761
language Japanese
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers
record_format Article
series Nihon Kikai Gakkai ronbunshu
spelling doaj-art-029c25c7519148cc93277895672bf45c2025-01-27T08:34:35ZjpnThe Japan Society of Mechanical EngineersNihon Kikai Gakkai ronbunshu2187-97612024-12-019194124-0014324-0014310.1299/transjsme.24-00143transjsmeEvaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance businessJunya WATANABE0Toshiaki KONO1Research and Development Group, Hitachi Ltd.Research and Development Group, Hitachi Ltd.In the maintenance service business, introducing IoT solutions is an expected strategy to improve the maintenance efficiency. However, it is difficult to predict in advance the quantitative effects of IoT solutions on the overall business. This study proposes the simulation approach to quantitatively evaluate the improvement effect of IoT solutions using the multi agent modeling for maintenance business. This model includes the behavior of maintenance workers and is characterized by evaluating the resource workload. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is verified in the case study of a dispatch-type maintenance service for wind turbines. The availabilities of wind turbines are compared in two prognosis solution introduction stories with six cases. The change trends in availability by introducing prognosis solutions can be explained by both the reduction in asset failures and the resource status of maintenance workers. In the simulation result, the introduction of anomaly prediction without changing the current maintenance policy resulted in an increase in workload and rather worsened availability, which indicates that the proposed method can assess the risk of reduced availability. Also, the availability improved significantly when combined with a change in maintenance policy, such as omitting periodic inspections. These results indicate that the proposed method can evaluate the synergistic effects of prognosis solutions and maintenance policy changes.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/transjsme/91/941/91_24-00143/_pdf/-char/enmaintenancemulti agent simulationwind turbineprognosisreliabilityavailabilityworkload
spellingShingle Junya WATANABE
Toshiaki KONO
Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
Nihon Kikai Gakkai ronbunshu
maintenance
multi agent simulation
wind turbine
prognosis
reliability
availability
workload
title Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
title_full Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
title_fullStr Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
title_short Evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
title_sort evaluation of prognosis solutions for wind turbine using multi agent simulation of maintenance business
topic maintenance
multi agent simulation
wind turbine
prognosis
reliability
availability
workload
url https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/transjsme/91/941/91_24-00143/_pdf/-char/en
work_keys_str_mv AT junyawatanabe evaluationofprognosissolutionsforwindturbineusingmultiagentsimulationofmaintenancebusiness
AT toshiakikono evaluationofprognosissolutionsforwindturbineusingmultiagentsimulationofmaintenancebusiness