Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario

Canadian urban and adjacent landscapes have been dynamic over the last 50 years due to land management, land cover alternations, climate change, and disturbances. Remote sensing, particularly the Landsat archive, provides the only means to spatially quantify these long-term dynamics locally. Here, w...

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Main Authors: Mitchell T. Bonney, Yuhong He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2024.2445836
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author Mitchell T. Bonney
Yuhong He
author_facet Mitchell T. Bonney
Yuhong He
author_sort Mitchell T. Bonney
collection DOAJ
description Canadian urban and adjacent landscapes have been dynamic over the last 50 years due to land management, land cover alternations, climate change, and disturbances. Remote sensing, particularly the Landsat archive, provides the only means to spatially quantify these long-term dynamics locally. Here, we explore the utility of Landsat, including the often-forgotten MSS sensor, for investigating percent tree canopy cover (TCC) change between 1972 and 2020 in a Canadian urban-rural context. We build a TCC time-series by training random forest models using visually interpreted TCC from high-resolution imagery. Predictors include topographic and yearly LandsatLinkr-harmonized and LandTrendr-fitted tasseled cap indices. Yearly binary TCC maps are built to mask consistently treeless areas and limit noise. To increase confidence in observed TCC change without historical reference imagery, we investigate multiple temporal validation options. Our TCC time-series (R2: 0.89, RMSE: 10.7%), quantifies TCC dynamics while limiting erroneous change and predictor space extrapolation. We explore TCC changes across landscapes, revealing periods of gain and loss associated with agricultural reforestation (1978–1996), housing development (on-going), drought (late 1990s), emerald ash borer (2010s), an ice storm (2013), and other drivers. Results demonstrate how long-term Landsat time-series can be used to better understand historical tree canopy change at local-regional scales.
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series Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing
spelling doaj-art-02656d4b2b06492f807eb83a6c2430582025-02-05T12:46:13ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCanadian Journal of Remote Sensing1712-79712025-12-0151110.1080/07038992.2024.24458362445836Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern OntarioMitchell T. Bonney0Yuhong He1Department of Geography, Geomatics and Environment, University of Toronto MississaugaDepartment of Geography, Geomatics and Environment, University of Toronto MississaugaCanadian urban and adjacent landscapes have been dynamic over the last 50 years due to land management, land cover alternations, climate change, and disturbances. Remote sensing, particularly the Landsat archive, provides the only means to spatially quantify these long-term dynamics locally. Here, we explore the utility of Landsat, including the often-forgotten MSS sensor, for investigating percent tree canopy cover (TCC) change between 1972 and 2020 in a Canadian urban-rural context. We build a TCC time-series by training random forest models using visually interpreted TCC from high-resolution imagery. Predictors include topographic and yearly LandsatLinkr-harmonized and LandTrendr-fitted tasseled cap indices. Yearly binary TCC maps are built to mask consistently treeless areas and limit noise. To increase confidence in observed TCC change without historical reference imagery, we investigate multiple temporal validation options. Our TCC time-series (R2: 0.89, RMSE: 10.7%), quantifies TCC dynamics while limiting erroneous change and predictor space extrapolation. We explore TCC changes across landscapes, revealing periods of gain and loss associated with agricultural reforestation (1978–1996), housing development (on-going), drought (late 1990s), emerald ash borer (2010s), an ice storm (2013), and other drivers. Results demonstrate how long-term Landsat time-series can be used to better understand historical tree canopy change at local-regional scales.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2024.2445836
spellingShingle Mitchell T. Bonney
Yuhong He
Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing
title Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
title_full Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
title_fullStr Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
title_full_unstemmed Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
title_short Using Landsat time-series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban-rural landscape in southern Ontario
title_sort using landsat time series to investigate nearly 50 years of tree canopy cover change across an urban rural landscape in southern ontario
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2024.2445836
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AT yuhonghe usinglandsattimeseriestoinvestigatenearly50yearsoftreecanopycoverchangeacrossanurbanrurallandscapeinsouthernontario