Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation

We assess the efficiency of the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market by investigating how sovereign CDS spreads react to macroeconomic news announcements. Contrary to the vast majority of the existing literature, one of our main findings supports the hypothesis that news announcements reduce m...

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Main Authors: Min Lu, Michele Passariello, Xing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5568698
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author Min Lu
Michele Passariello
Xing Wang
author_facet Min Lu
Michele Passariello
Xing Wang
author_sort Min Lu
collection DOAJ
description We assess the efficiency of the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market by investigating how sovereign CDS spreads react to macroeconomic news announcements. Contrary to the vast majority of the existing literature, one of our main findings supports the hypothesis that news announcements reduce market uncertainty and, thus, that both better- and worse-than-expected news lower CDS prices during our sample period. In addition, we find that CDS spreads respond differently to the four macroindicators across the three different regions. Our findings might help investors in these areas to interpret the surprises of macronews announcements when making decisions in CDS markets.
format Article
id doaj-art-01db5cdb5c3d446989a57991086322b5
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-01db5cdb5c3d446989a57991086322b52025-02-03T01:24:59ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55686985568698Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical InvestigationMin Lu0Michele Passariello1Xing Wang2Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing, ChinaDurham University Business School, Durham, UKDurham University Business School, Durham, UKWe assess the efficiency of the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market by investigating how sovereign CDS spreads react to macroeconomic news announcements. Contrary to the vast majority of the existing literature, one of our main findings supports the hypothesis that news announcements reduce market uncertainty and, thus, that both better- and worse-than-expected news lower CDS prices during our sample period. In addition, we find that CDS spreads respond differently to the four macroindicators across the three different regions. Our findings might help investors in these areas to interpret the surprises of macronews announcements when making decisions in CDS markets.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5568698
spellingShingle Min Lu
Michele Passariello
Xing Wang
Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
Complexity
title Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
title_full Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
title_fullStr Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
title_full_unstemmed Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
title_short Sovereign CDS Premiums’ Reaction to Macroeconomic News: An Empirical Investigation
title_sort sovereign cds premiums reaction to macroeconomic news an empirical investigation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5568698
work_keys_str_mv AT minlu sovereigncdspremiumsreactiontomacroeconomicnewsanempiricalinvestigation
AT michelepassariello sovereigncdspremiumsreactiontomacroeconomicnewsanempiricalinvestigation
AT xingwang sovereigncdspremiumsreactiontomacroeconomicnewsanempiricalinvestigation